Redskins v Titans Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 22/12/18
Ben Rolfe (@benrolfe15) previews Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s crucial NFL clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 23/12/18
- Time: 21:30
- Venue: Nissan Stadium, Tennessee
- Channel: Sky Sports Action
Surprisingly this game has huge playoff implications to kick of Week 16. Both teams are within a game of being in a playoff spot and they both need to win in a big way this week. While this may not be the most thrilling and high scoring affair on Saturday, there is a real chance it could be very entertaining.
The Redskins come into this game off the back of their first win in five games. They are using their fourth-choice quarterback of the season and have an offensive line which has been in tatters for a while now. The key last week for this team was that their offense did not turn the ball over once, having turned it over nine times in the previous four losses. They may not have put up great numbers, but their defence managed to restrict a bad Jacksonville offense and force two crucial turnovers.
The Titans are currently on a three-game winning streak which is great news. The bad news is that the last time they won three on the trot they immediately lost the next three. This team has perhaps been the most inconsistent in football and that is concerning. They seem to have figured out that Derrick Henry is their best offensive weapon right now. Henry has six touchdowns and an incredible 408 yards in the last two games. Henry being effective allows the Titans to play risk free football which heading into the playoffs could be crucial.
There are lots of question marks once again for the injury ravaged Redskins. They look likely to be without their best pass catching threat in Jordan Reed, who will likely be placed on the injured reserve if the Redskins are eliminated from playoff contention. Adrian Peterson missed practice Tuesday but is expected to suit up for the game Sunday.
There are also a lot of players who missed training for the Titans on Tuesday but given the short week that is to be expected. The biggest concern might be Tajae Sharpe but he is unlikely to be a major part of the game plan this week.
Head To Head
- The all-time series is tied 6-6 between these two teams.
- The Redskins won the last two meetings between the teams in 2014 & 2010, scoring 19 points in both games.
Key Stats & Facts
- The Redskins are 3-7 when they turn their offence commits a turnover and 4-0 when they do not.
- The Redskins defence ranks fifth in turnovers forced and second in forced fumbles, having forced a turnover in all but one game this season.
- The Titans are 4-1 when they do not turn the ball over and 1-3 when they turn it over more than once.
- The Titans have rushed for over 200 yards in both of their last two games.
- The Titans defence ranks in the top-10 in points given up (2), total yards surrendered (7), passing yards surrendered (6) and third in both rushing and passing touchdowns.
- Washington Redskins 9/2
- Tennessee Titans 1/5
This game is tough to judge because the Titans have been very impressive the last two weeks. Interestingly both teams have common opponents the last two weeks. In Week 14 the Titans handled the Jaguars comprehensively while the Redskins where destroyed by Giants. Last week the Titans dismissed the Giants while the Redskins squeaked past the Jaguars.
However, the Titans being 10-point favourites makes me uncomfortable. They have been so inconsistent moving the ball this season and have followed up huge wins with crushing losses. Saying that of their eight wins this year, four have come by 10 or more points, including the last two weeks. The Redskins will need turnovers to stay in this game and the Titans have given up the sixth least amount this season. I want to lean to the Redskins simply because the spread is so big, but I have trouble trusting my money to Josh Johnson and a banged-up Redskins offence. For that reason, I will pass.
The total points line is also an extremely tough one to judge. 37 is a miniscule number and a single defensive play could easily push this from an under to an over. Saying that I do not think there is going to be much offense in this game. In the last two weeks these teams have scored an average of 23.5 (TEN) and 16 (WAS) points. If they match that they will hit the over, but I do not expect the Titans to score 30 points again. For that reason, I am putting one unit on the under in this game.
By the same vein I would be tempted to put a unit on the under total touchdowns with the line at 3.5. In terms of player props I would be tempted by Marcus Mariota for over on rushing yards given Cody Kessler had over 60 last week against the Redskins. I think the Redskins will key on stopping Henry and that should open opportunities for Mariota.
Finally, an interesting bet is for there to be less than two turnovers in the game. Both teams were cautious with the ball last week and with decent odds I would be tempted to take a one unit shot at another cards close to the chest type of game.