Seahawks v Cowboys Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 06/01/19
Ben Rolfe (@benrolfe15) previews Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s NFC Wildcard weekend clash.
Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 06/01/19
- Time: 01:15
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Action
This is an interesting game between two middle of the road offences. However, the reason they are middle of the road is their ability to pass the ball. The Seahawks offence ranks 27th in passing yards but first in rushing yards and fifth in rushing yards per attempt. They have been reasonably efficient when passing the ball, ranking 15th in net yards per attempt. Defensively the Seahawks are also a middle of the pack group in general, but they allow the third most yards per attempt from opposing rushers. That is an issue when you are facing the NFL rushing leader in Ezekiel Elliott.
Considering Elliott’s success this season it is kind of strange to see the Cowboys offence ranking just 10th in total rushing yards and 14th in rushing yards per attempt. Those numbers will have somewhat been decreased with Elliott sitting week 17 but even so that is lower than I expected to see.
This game should be an interesting clash of run games with both teams looking to pass off the play action. The two quarterbacks in this game both can extend plays and use their legs and the respect they will be afforded in the run game will be crucial. If Russell Wilson can hold Cowboys defenders, then Chris Carson could have a monster day.
The other big clash in this game is between Elliott and Seahawks linebacker Bobby Wagner. Wagner has missed just 1% of tackles he has attempted in his career and Elliott leads the league in yards after contact since he has been in the NFL. The winner of that mini head-to-head could go a long way towards deciding this game.
Head To Head
- The Cowboys lead the all-time series 10-8, but have not beaten the Seahawks win 2014.
- The Seahawks have won the last three games between the two teams, including the meeting earlier this season in Seattle.
- The Seahawks have won the last two meeting between the two in Dallas.
- The last time these two met in the playoffs the Seahawks won 21-20 in Seattle back in 2007. That game is famous for a botched field-goal by then Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo.
Key Stats & Facts
- The Seahawks have won six of their last seven games and have won at least one playoff game each of the last nine times they have made the playoffs.
- The Cowboys have won seven of their last eight games and are 9-3 in games decided by one possession. That is the most wins by any team this season and the most in Cowboys history.
- The Cowboys are 7-0 this season when they do not commit a turnover, they ae 3-6 when they turn the ball over one or more times.
- The Seahawks are 6-2 when they have zero turnovers and 4-4 when they turn the ball over once.
- In his last six postseason starts Russell Wilson is 3-3 with 11TDs and 10 interceptions.
- Dak Prescott is 0-2 against the Seahawks. He has thrown four interceptions and just one touchdown.
- Seattle Seahawks 15/13
- Dallas Cowboys 5/6
Everything about this game screams that it will be close. Both teams like to run the ball and neither team has an offence that can run away from the other. The Cowboys are 7-1 at home and the Seahawks are 4-4 on the road, and that may be crucial come the final whistle. The brave way to be this game is to back the Cowboys to win the game at 5/6 and then back the Seahawks +2.5 at 1/1. That way you have a narrow window where you can win both ways. If you don’t mind lessening your potential winnings a little, then the Seahawks +3.5 is available at 8/11 with William Hill.
I am going to do something I do not usually do and take the over in a game I think will have a lot of running. The over/under is currently at 43.5 and I see both teams getting to at least 20 points. On the road this season the Seahawks have given up over 20 points five times. The three times they did not was when they were facing the Lions, Cardinals and Raiders, who were all awful this season. The Cowboys have scored over 20 points at home in five of their home games this season and three of those have come in the last four.
The Cowboys average just over one turnover per game and the Seahawks have had just six turnovers since Week 3. Therefore, I am going to back less than two turnovers in this game at 24/5 with William Hill. This nearly hit the last time I selected it, only losing on the final play from scrimmage and with both turnovers coming in the last five minutes of the game, when the Redskins got desperate with Josh Johnson at quarterback.
A hat tip to @FirstTD on twitter for this one as he provided the stats to back where I was leading on the anytime touchdown selection. Ed Dickson has had the most snaps at the tight end position for the Seahawks in recent weeks and offers the best value at 12/1.
Other interesting names to consider are Rashaad Penny (11/2, SkyBet) if he is active, and Mike Davis (9/2, SkyBet) if he is not. Allen Hurns is available at 13/1 and the Seahawks do not have the best secondary. However, Hurns has just 20 receptions and two touchdowns this season so that is hard to recommend.