Titans v Colts Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 18/11/18

Titans v Colts Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

NFL specialist and the brilliant Ben Rolfe (@benrolfe15) previews Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s key AFC South showdown by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 18/11/18
  • Time: 18:00
  • Channel: NFL Gamepass

This is a massive game for both of these teams. Both of these teams are chasing the Houston Texans in the AFC South and a win would ensure they remain right in the chase. However, a loss could mean they risk dropping another game behind the Texans, making winning the division tougher with just six games remaining in the season.

Both of these teams are on the up right now. The Tennessee Titans are coming off a massive win against the New England Patriots in which they performed superbly on both sides of the ball. Their quarterback Marcus Mariota finally appears to be healthy after struggling with an elbow injury earlier in the season. Their run game also appears to be starting to function and they have scored 64 points in their last two games, having scored just 66 points in their previous five games. Their defence has remained strong throughout the season, allowing an average of 16.78 points per game.

As for the Colts they are on a three game win streak but the level of competition they have faced has been somewhat questionable. They have beaten the Bills, Raiders and Jaguars, who all rank among the worst 10 teams in the league right now. Andrew Luck has recovered from his shoulder issues to throw for 26 touchdowns and 2,472 yards with just nine interceptions. They have also managed to get their run game going thanks to Marlon Mack and Jordan Wilkins who both average over five yards per carry on the season. Their defence has had its issues as they rank 21st in points allowed. However, it has been much more effective than many expected at the start of the season.

Team News

The majority of the Colts injuries are on the defensive side of the ball with their safety position particularly hard hit. Marlon Mack missed practice Wednesday but the absence was not injury related.

The Titans look likely to have most of their keys back with possible returns for right tackle Jack Conklin and receiver Taywan Taylor probably the most important notes.

Head To Head

  • Colts lead 31-15 all-time against the Titans.
  • The Colts had won 11 in a row against the Titans spanning from 2011 through to 2016.
  • However, the Titans won both games last year but the Colts were without Andrew Luck in both games.

Key Stats & Facts

  • The Colts are 13-1 at home against the Titans since 2003, with that loss coming last year.
  • The Titans averaged 15.1 points per game in the first seven games and 31 points per game in the last two.
  • Andrew Luck is 9-0 as the starting quarterback against the Tennessee Titans.
  • Marcus Mariota has more touchdown passes combined in the last two games than he had in total in the first seven games.
  • Andrew Luck has thrown three or more touchdown passes in six straight NFL games, the fourth-longest streak in NFL history.

Betting Odds

  • Tennessee Titans 11/10
  • Indianapolis Colts 11/13

The Verdict

Now that this game has virtually dropped to even or with the Colts favoured by a point I am going to pick the Colts against the spread. The Titans defence have had success with their pass rush and they caused Tom Brady fits last week. However, the Colts offensive line has been extremely good lately, having not given up a sack in four games. I think the Titans can get to Luck and break that streak but generally he should have enough time in the pocket to be able to pick apart a very susceptible at times Titans secondary. Finally, there is a real chance of a let-down game for the Titans, after beating a big team last week and then having to travel on the road this week.

I am also going to take the over with the line set at 48.5. I think both teams will be able to move the ball and should both score into the 20's. The season statistics do not necessarily support it but these two offenses appear to be getting better week after week. I also think both teams can score three touchdowns so I would go over 5.5 total touchdowns in this game.

In terms of players to score this week Jonnu Smith has caught two touchdowns in two weeks and they seem to be making a real effort to get him the ball. On the other side I would look for Jack Doyle to get on the board. Doyle has seen the majority of snaps at tight end and with Eric Ebron having three touchdowns last week I expect the Titans to prioritise him over Doyle in coverage this week.

Recommended Bets

  • Indianapolis Colts -0.5 – 10/11 (Skybet)
  • Total Points over 48.5 – 10/11 (Sportingbet)
  • Total touchdowns over 5.5 – 1/1 (bet365)
  • Jonnu Smith anytime touchdown scorer – 3/1 (Coral)
  • Jack Doyle anytime touchdown scorer – 13/8 (Coral)