Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Venezuela v Argentina and provides us with his best bets for the quarter final clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +6.03pts

Venezuela v Argentina Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 28/06/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Maracanã
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Venezuela will be pretty happy with 2nd place in their group, edging out Peru by one point who were heavy favourites to finish 2nd. They have come with a game plan and it has worked out, they have managed to frustrate teams by lack of opportunities and then taking their chance when it comes. Rondon is a key part of Venezuela’s team as his strength and hold up play at the top of the field helps relieve a lot of pressure. When the opposition defenders start to tire out then it’s the turn of speed merchant Josef Martinez, who scored of the bench against Bolivia with a beautifully looping header.

Argentina are still yet to impress. They managed to get the job done against Qatar, but it was 1-0 for the most part of the game until Aguero’s late goal sealed the game. If they are to progress far in this tournament something really needs to start clicking soon. Aguero managed to net a goal which will give him the boost that was needed, but Messi is still yet to show why he’s considered the best in the world.

The winner of this tie is likely to play Brazil, unless Paraguay can do the unthinkable and turn over the favourites on their own turf. With the way Argentina are playing even if they can get past Venezuela it is frightening to think what Brazil could do to them in their current form.

Team News

Luis Del Pino looks to have lost his place in the Venezuela squad, after his red card in the group stage.

Despite winning 2-0 Argentina still weren’t 100% convincing, so it is really anyone’s guess as to what team they will field.

Potential Venezuela Starting XI: Farinez, Rosales, Villanueva, Chancellor, Hernandez, Savarino, Herrera, Moreno, Rincon, Machis, Rondon

Potential Argentina Starting XI: Armani, Tagliafico, Otamendi, Foyth, Saravia, Paul, Paredes, Celso, Messi, Aguero, Martinez

Head To Head

  • Venezuela actually beat Argentina in a friendly earlier on in the year, by a 3-1 scoreline.
  • Venezuela actually lost the first 16 H2H’s with Argentina.
  • Argentina have only failed to win 4 times in 22 matches.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Venezuela are still unbeaten so far this campaign.
  • Since 1995 in the CA, Argentina have been involved in 6 penalty shootouts, losing 5 of them.
  • Venezuela have only conceded 1 goal thus far.

Betting Odds

  • Venezuela 11/2
  • Draw 13/5
  • Argentina 4/7

The Verdict

Venezuela have only seen one first half goal in their 3 games and have also kept 2 clean sheets from the 3. It is likely they will set up with a similar plan again as their most likely chance of progressing here is probably taking the game the distance. Argentina have only scored in the first half against Qatar, who although put up a good fight have a huge quality gulf, even from Venezuela. Therefore the half time result to be a draw and Argentina to wrap the game up in the second half looks a good play, Argentina’s quality should eventually break the deadlock in what will be a tough game for them.

The second bet is in the cards market. Otamendi was paired with Juan Foyth in the previous game, who picked up a yellow card. Otamendi also picked up a card in the second game against Paraguay, and given the cards have now re-set, the player will not face suspension from another card. Otamendi is always making rash decisions as he shows for City. With the protection he will get from Argentina’s midfield being a lot lower than club level he will be up against a new challenge, especially with Rondon likely to lead the line who loves a battle with the centre half.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Draw/Argentina HF/FT – 33/10 (Unibet)
  • 1pt – Otamendi to be carded – 11/4 (Bet365)