2019 Canadian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Canadian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews The RBC Canadian Open and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +40.25pts

2019 Canadian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 6th – Sunday 9th
  • Venue: Hamilton Golf and Country Club, Hamilton, Ontario
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

Whilst Patrick Cantlay impressively won last week’s Memorial Tournament, it was 35/1 pick Adam Scott who gave my preview an each way return for his runner up spot. The Aussie was in impressive form all week and was unlucky not to get the win.  Stenson (50/1) faltered a little over the weekend after a promising start, but headline tip Rory McIlroy was very disappointing in missing the cut.

As the build up to next week’s US Open at Pebble Beach continues, the RBC Canadian Open returns to Hamilton Golf and Country Club in Ontario, for the first time since 2012. Many of the leading contenders, including defending champion Dustin Johnson are sponsored by RBC, so it’s never clear whether this would be a natural event on a player’s roster if it weren’t for the duties put upon them.

Other players looking to hone their game ahead of next week’s major championship include, Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Matt Kuchar and Webb Simpson.

Key Stats & Facts

Since this is the first time that the event has been held at Hamilton Golf and Country Club since Scott Piercy won in 2012, it obviously makes it difficult to look at recent event form for any correlating evidence.

The course this week is a 6,967 yard par 70, which makes it a short classical track for today’s standards. A Harry Colt design with poa annua greens, players will be aiming for position off the tee to attack these multi-tiered greens to score well.

This is set to be another all-round test for the players this week, and whilst distance off the tee could be an advantage, players that can keep the ball in the right portion of the green will be more likely to create more birdie chances, where the expected scores should be low.

Recent winners of the event (on other courses except for 2012);

  • 2018: Dustin Johnson -23 (7/1)
  • 2017: Jhonattan Vegas -21 (125/1)
  • 2016:  Jhonattan Vegas -12 (125/1)
  • 2015: Jason Day -17 (10/1)
  • 2014: Tim Clark -17 (66/1)
  • 2013: Brandt Snedeker -16 (16/1)
  • 2012: Scott Piercy -17 (50/1)

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (best prices from SkyBet and Paddy Power – paying 8 places)

  • Dustin Johnson 6/1
  • Brooks Koepka 7/1
  • Rory McIlroy 10/1
  • Justin Thomas 16/1
  • Matt Kuchar 20/1
  • Webb Simpson 22/1
  • Sergio Garcia 25/1
  • Bubba Watson 30/1
  • Scott Piercy 33/1
  • Brandt Snedeker 33/1

The Verdict

With DJ, Koepka and Rory in the field at the head of the market, it invariably creates a bit of value further down. So with 8 places on offer this week, I’m looking for players with a heritage of scoring well on short classical tracks and who are in good recent form.

  1. Sergio Garcia 25/1

2nd in stroked gained approach and 11th in tee to green, Garcia remains an elite ball striker and it is no surprise to see him turn up this week. Garcia will be happy to put the disappointment of Bethpage behind him, and challenge on a course that really should suit his skill set. He’s had a run of good performances this season including 4th at the recent Wells Fargo, 2nd in the Zurich Classic, 5th in the WGC Matchplay, 9th at the Honda and 6th at the WGC Mexico. He has come close on a number of occasions without getting the win, so this could certainly be the week.

  1. Henrik Stenson 35/1

Much of what I wrote on Stenson last week still holds true and I’m willing to play him again on a course that should suit him even more than Muirfield. Where driver off the tee isn’t the be all and end all, his 3 wood can help get him in great positions to attack these greens. He remains 1st in stroked gained approach, so if he can sharpen up the other elements of his game, he should give himself a really good chance this week.

  1. Erik Van Rooyen’s 80/1

The first of my two slightly more speculative selections is the South African Erik Van Royen. Here on a sponsor invite, Van Royen is a player I have followed on the European for a couple of years. Whilst he came to prominence in the States at last month’s PGA Championship, finishing a credible 8th, he is a known performer back in Europe and very capable of taking the next step on the PGA Tour. He is fantastic off the tee, hitting it over 300 yards, and is also a very good putter, growing up on these type of surfaces. If he can keep his approach play sharp, I can see him grabbing a place this week.

  1. Lucas Bjerregaard 90/1

My final selection is another favourite of mine, in Lucas Bjerregard. He has elevated his game again this year with a number of standout performances. Beaten semi-finalist at the WGC Match Play, 21st at The Masters and 16th at the PGA Championship, Bjerregaard is proving that he belongs amongst the game’s elite. I was lucky enough to follow the Dane for a number of holes at last year’s BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth and was mightily impressed with his game. A long accurate ball striker who could position his ball strategically, he has the temperament and precision to go extremely well on a course like this.

Recommended Bets: with Paddy Power and Sky Bet (8 places)

  • 2pts Each Way – Sergio Garcia 25/1
  • 2pts Each Way – Henrik Stenson 35/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Erik Van Royen 80/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Lucas Bjerregaard 90/1