Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews The Memorial Tournament and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +40.5pts

2019 Memorial Tournament Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 30th May – Sunday 2nd
  • Venue: Muirfield Village, Dublin, Ohio
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

I won’t dwell on last week for too long. Another unlucky injury withdrawal, a missed cut, and two players who faded away when seemingly well placed for an each way return. It’s a brutal game sometimes, but increasingly important to play the long game.

It’s the week before the US Open, so some of top names are honing their skills before the challenge of Pebble Beach; however I’m still impressed at such a great turn out this week at The Memorial Tournament. Always a loved event by the players, hosted by Jack Nicklaus and synonymous with Tiger’s record around here, including 5 wins it is sure to be a fantastic event.

Rory McIlroy heads the betting, with Tiger Woods, Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose, Justin Thomas and Jason Day also in attendance.

Bryson Dechambeau is the defending champion.

Key Stats & Facts

Muirfield Village, or “Jack’s place” as it affectionately known, is a true classical test, which plays as a 7,392 par 72.

Although the fairways are tree lined, they are wider than many of the recent courses played on the PGA Tour, affording players a bit more room to position themselves for their approach. A true second shot golf course, those with assured iron play should be able to ensure they are well equipped to sink birdie putts on these undulating and tricky putting surfaces.  Proximity to the hole will therefore no doubt be an important measure of success this week.

With run off areas, and water on many holes, those with a sharp scrambling game, should also prosper. Therefore, players with an all-round game this week should navigate to the top of the leaderboard.

Recent winners;

  • 2018: Bryson Dechambeau -15 (50/1)
  • 2017: Jason Dufner -13 (66/1)
  • 2016: William McGirt -15 (200/1)
  • 2015: David Lingmerth -15 (500/1)
  • 2014: Hideki Matsuyama -13 (66/1)
  • 2013: Matt Kuchar -12 (22/1)
  • 2012: Tiger Woods -8 (16/1)
  • 2011: Steve Stricker -16 (28/1)

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (best prices from SkyBet and Paddy Power – paying 8 places)

  • Rory McIlroy 9/1
  • Tiger Woods 10/1
  • Patrick Cantlay 14/1
  • Justin Rose 16/1
  • Justin Thomas 16/1
  • Matt Kuchar 20/1
  • Rickie Fowler 20/1
  • Jordan Spieth 20/1
  • Tony Finau 20/1
  • Jason Day 22/1

The Verdict

The week before a major can often be a challenging one to call, as some players use it as a warm up event for the challenge ahead. However, this event holds enough prestige to warrant players going at it hard and trying to secure the title, which is presented by Nicklaus himself. With so many top players in attendance, and some long price winners in recent years, selecting a team may seem tricky. For me it’s been a fairly simple task this week. Premium ball strikers, who have a good record here and are in some good form themselves, I therefore have three players for you to consider.

  1. Rory McIlroy 9/1

It takes a lot for me to back a single digit favourite for a golf event, but I cannot get away from McIlroy as my main pick this week. In scintillating form all season, with a whole host of top 10s and of course a win at The Players, McIlroy looks set to continue his form across the summer.

He’s also had 4 top 10’s here at Muirfield, including 8th last year and 4th in 2016. Stats wise McIlroy is unsurprisingly 1st in strokes gained tee to green, 8th in strokes gained approach and 18th in ball striking. McIlory clearly loves it at Muirfield and the only surprise is that he hasn’t picked up a win yet. I can see that changing this week.

  1. Adam Scott 35/1

I think if you asked golf fans to name a premium ball striker, Adam Scott would be in most people’s top 3. The Australian not only has the widely regarded nicest swing on tour, but his 2019 performances are backing it up as well, as he is continually challenging at the top of leader boards.

Scott has finished in the top 5 on three occasions here at Muirfield, and had a nice 8th place at the PGA Championship a fortnight ago. 2nd at Farmers remains his best finish so far this year, but he has been in contention on a number of occasions. Openly playing a slightly reduced schedule this year, Scott is choosing his tournaments carefully and it’s clear he fancies another shot at winning The Memorial, where his game is clearly suited.

Scott sits 22nd from tee to green this year, and his proximity to the hole stats are sensational when the approach is under 150 yards.

  1. Henrik Stenson 50/1

Stenson is finding his way into the 2019 season now, with some improved performances. Juggling caddies may well have been a side issue for the early part of the year, but he seems settled again, stringing together a number of sub-par rounds, and some top 20 finishes.

The Swede sits 1st in approach and 26th from tee to green, another elite ball striker, who had his best finish here at Muirfield last year with a 13th place, so the momentum is building for a serious challenge this week. I fancy Stenson to use his trusty 3 wood to good effect off the tee here, and be able to fire in irons close to the pins.

Recommended Bets (With PaddyPower and Sky Bet – 8 places)

  • 3pts Each Way – Rory McIlroy 9/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Adam Scott 35/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Henrik Stenson 50/1