Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Aston Villa Vs Everton and provides us with his best bets for Friday’s 20:00 pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
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Aston Villa v Everton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 23/08/19
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: Villa Park
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
The sides have not met since the 15-16 season, when the Villa were rock bottom and meet again with the Toffee’s the 13/10 favourites for the game. Punters should be weary that Everton have netted just once, but have not conceded yet.
Both sides are contrasting in many areas that Villa have seen plenty of goals in their pre-season and opening two games. Everton in comparison have scored just twice in six dating back almost a month, so goals are a premium for the Toffee’s in the early going.
Punters should be weary about considering too much this early on as form is not established yet, but odds compilers have taken into account previous meetings as well as their opening start.
Aston Villa team news:
- It is expected that the strategic direction in the starting eleven will be tweaked after two defeats absorbing the positives from their return to the division.
- Jota is likely to get the nod, with Luiz looking to make an impact.
- Dean Smith will want to keep the game tight and look to keep a clean sheet.
Everton team news:
- Early news suggests Digne and Baines will be available to start at Villa Park on Friday night.
- Kean made a good impact in his last outing and will be fighting to make his first start.
- Everton will need to start producing goals having seen just one goal scored, but have not conceded.
Potential Aston Villa Starting XI: Heaton, Guilbert, Engels, Mings, Targett, Trezeguet, Grealish, Luiz, McGinn, Jofa and Wesley
Potential Everton Starting XI: Pickford, Coleman, Keane, Mina, Digne, Gbamin, Gomes, Bernard, Siguardsson, Richarlison and Kean
Head to Head: Everton 5-0-1 (Last six)
Key Stats & Facts
- There has been fewer than three goals in eight of the Toffee’s last ten games.
- Everton have draw their last three on the road.
- This fixture has seen goals with over 2.5 goals arriving in all of the last five meetings, in which five victories have gone to Everton.
- Both of Villa’s opening two games have seen BTTS, whereas Everton’s two have not.
- Villa’s path back to the elite division has seen 29 corners awarded in two games with only Spurs two games including their meeting matching the same number in the division.
- Aston Villa – 23/10 BetVictor
- Draw – 13/5 Bet365
- Everton – 13/10 Betfair
The match odds have Everton as the mild favourites for the match best percentage at 43.48% with the hosts at 30.30% and the tie rated at 27.78% with the bias going on the visitors in respect that Villa are the newly promoted side, having been outside the premier league for three seasons.
This game has a myriad of targets for both sides. We have a side that needs to begin scoring with Everton, with a side that is in need to tightening their defence. With VAR making some headways in recent league games, I was surprised to see bet365 punting just 7/4 on a penalty being awarded, when in previous seasons the price depending on the history of the fixture has generally been no shorter than 2/1. Unibet are 11/5 on a penalty in the game.
As a fan of the corners market, Skybet punt 6/4 on 12 or more corners in the game, with bet builder on bet365 offering 10/11 that Villa get five or more and Everton four or more is worth considering. Everton have averaged 3 corners from two games and Villa averaged 5 despite conceding 19 from two games. Taking the risk on both sides versus the overall line of 10.5 at 17/20 is one to be taken on this occasion and will take a point.
Both sides are in need of something from this, goals being Everton’s need and a result for Villa in general. Firm stats from previous meetings would lean on the Toffee’s historically, but with short term form will lack punter confidence.
BetVictor may just tempt a few that firmly think Everton’s form is more solid and consider both to score no at 7/5, as both to score is as short as 4/7 in places.