Aston Villa v Leeds Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 23/12/18

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Aston Villa v Leeds and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Championship clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.

Aston Villa v Leeds United Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 23/12/18
  • Time: 13:30pm
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Channel: Sky Sports Football

Two of the most in-form teams meet in Sunday’s Championship clash. Both are strong when you look into the performance data. Leeds have been so throughout the season and top the key metrics such as xG and shots on target, Villa have seen a huge upturn in performances since Dean Smith took the helm. Smith was a manager synonymous with high volumes of chance creation at former clubs Walsall and Brentford and he’s brought that style to Villa Park.

When you’ve got a striker with the calibre of Tammy Abraham then there’s someone to put away those chances. Therefore, it’s no surprise to see goals are flowing for the Villans in the last few months. They’ve been involved in some high scoring games including a 4-2 and a 5-5 in the last month or so but they’ll be coming up against a good defence here.

Leeds can regain top spot from Norwich should they win here. They’ve won by the odd goal quite frequently and it’s been a ‘get the job done’ mentality which has bared fruit. It’s all the more impressive when you look at the volume of injuries for the Whites in recent weeks.

Team News

Henri Lansbury, Mile Jedinak, Birkir Bjarnason and Albert Adomah are all back in contention for the hosts.

Full backs James Bree and Neil Taylor are rules out whilst Jack Grealish is a doubt.

Centre halves Liam Cooper and Gaetano Berardi are out for Leeds. Izzy Brown, Stuart Dallas and Samuel Saiz will not be involved either. Luke Ayling is back and fit and could play.

Potential Aston Villa Starting XI: Nyland, El-Mohamedy, Tuanzebe, Chester, Hutton, Bolasie, Hourihane, McGinn, El-Ghazi, Kodjia, Abraham.

Potential Leeds Starting XI: Peacock-Farrell, Shackleton, Jansson, Phillips, Douglas, Forshaw, Klich, Hernandez, Alioski, Roofe, Bamford.

Match Stats

  • The last 84 meetings between these two have seen 28 Villa wins, 28 Leeds wins and 28 draws.
  • Villa are undefeated in their last 3 against Leeds.
  • Leeds have won 5 on the bounce for the first time since 2009.

Betting Odds

  • Aston Villa – 6/4
  • Draw – 13/5
  • Leeds – 15/8

The Verdict

It’s two well matched sides who compete in competitive games on a frequent basis. That takes me to my first selection and that’s to back the draw at 13/5. Villa have drawn 3 of their last 4 games and a point here against arguably the best side in the division wouldn’t be the worst result.

I don’t want to go into the goal markets despite the fact Villa games tend to be high scoring it isn’t so much the case for Leeds.

I’m happy to delve into the card markets as well and plump for 31/10 on John McGinn to pick up a booking. He’s shorter than 2/1 in most places so it’s a standout price with BetVictor. He’s the most carded player out of the two sides with 7 yellows so far this season and Leeds have some tricky players going forward

Recommended Bets

  • Draw – 13/5 (Bet365)
  • John McGinn to be carded – 31/10 (BetVictor)