Birmingham v Swansea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 17th August

  • 17th August 2018
Birmingham v Swansea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 7th August

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Birmingham vs Swansea and provides us with his best bets for Friday nights’ Championship clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.

Birmingham v Swansea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 17/08/18
  • Time: 19:45pm
  • Venue: St Andrews
  • Channel: SkySports Football

Swansea travel to Birmingham aiming to go top of the table, for a day at least. Graham Potter has to be pleased with the start he has made in South Wales picking up wins against Sheffield United and Preston, both have been by a single goal. Oli McBurnie is seemingly their main man up front and he’s proved an able goalscorer in this league after a successful loan spell at Barnsley last season, their will be a reliance on him to hit 20+ should Swansea launch a serious promotion bid. He’s a player that’s always scored goals, even at youth level with Bradford City. His awareness and positioning in the 18 yard box is second to none and should he get good deliveries he can be trusted to take them, either with his feet or his head.

Swans’ fans have been voicing their concern over the ownership at the club with many wanting Huw Jenkins to step down. Failure to complete the signing of classy midfielder Ryan Woods from Brentford due to apparent stinginess from a financial perspective will leave a sour taste. Money that has come into the club has failed to be reinvested and seeing fellow relegated clubs West Brom and Stoke strengthen and also keep hold of their main players will further rile the Jack Army. Good early results slightly papers over the cracks, but once there is a loss it could turn toxic at the Liberty. However, for now Potter and his side are doing a good job at keeping off the field issues on the backburner.

Financial fair play rules have seen Birmingham fail to strengthen their squad over the summer. Danish full back Kristian Pedersen has arrived but somehow they’ve managed to do so whilst under a transfer embargo, a move that could have negative impact on the club and a threat of a possible points deduction. All is not well in the West Midlands, recent departures of three key senior members of staff behind the scenes and possibly more in the future cannot bode well for the club as a whole. Gary Monk has to have his team produce battling performances to keep hope and optimism up at St Andrews.

Blues do still boast quality among their ranks. Jota was one of the leagues standout performers in 16/17 for Brentford and they have alternative attacking threats in Jacques Maghoma and Che Adams. Omar Bogle and Conor Mahoney have both arrived on loan and will give Monk extra options in the forward department.

Team News

Birmingham will be without their two main central midfielders for this clash. Craig Gardner is suspended after being sent off at Middlesborough last week and Cheikh N’Doye has been loaned out back to Ligue 1 outfit Angers in order to comply with FFP rules.

Erwin Mulder is likely to replace goalkeeper Kristian Nordfelt after he picked up an inconspicuous looking injury at the weekend against Preston.

Potential Birmingham Starting XI: Camp, Colin, Morrison, Dean, Pedersen, Maghoma, G Gardner, Kieftenbeld, Jota, Adams, Jutkiewicz

Potential Swansea Starting XI: Mulder, Roberts, Van Der Hoorn, Rodon, Olsson, Carroll, Fulton, Fer, McKay, Celina, McBurnie

Head To Head

  • These two cannot be split on historical data. Both sides have won three and drawn four of their last eleven meetings.

Stats & Facts

  • Current Birmingham manager Garry Monk played his final game for Swansea against Birmingham in 2013 league cup clash.
  • Monk has only lost 2 of his last 11 games at home.
  • Swansea are looking to win three games on the bounce, something they failed to do all season in 17/18.

Betting Odds

  • Birmingham – 2/1
  • Draw – 23/10
  • Swansea – 8/5

The Verdict

Not all is well at both clubs, and it’s difficult to find value in the outright market as any result wouldn’t be a massive surprise. Swansea boast better expected goals data than Birmingham and probably deserve to be favourites however I’m going to look away from the outright markets.

Oli McBurnie should start and at 23/10 he doesn’t look like a bad bet to score anytime. He’s a penalty box poacher and he is also on penalties. Another angle I like is the 0-0 half time correct score at 13/8. This bet came in on both these sides opening fixtures and it promises to be a tight encounter; only one goal has been scored by these sides in the first half this season.

Recommended Bets

  • Oli McBurnie To Score anytime – 23/10 (Betway)
  • 0-0 half time correct score – 13/8 (SkyBet)