Brazil v Bolivia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 15/06/19

Brazil v Bolivia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Sam Langston (@Samlan98) previews Brazil v Bolivia and provides us with his best bets for Saturday morning’s Copa América clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -0.67pts

Brazil v Bolivia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 15/06/2019
  • Time: 1:30
  • Venue: Morumbi
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Host nation Brazil will be hoping to start their Copa América campaign in style, as they kick-off the tournament’s 46th edition against Bolivia in the early hours of Saturday.

The Seleção, firm outright favourites to be lifting the Copa silverware at the beginning of next month, warmed up for the competition with a 7-0 hammering of Honduras in Porto-Alegre last Sunday.

Tite’s troops are the 11/8 front-runners (BetVictor) to emerge from the event with their ninth Copa crown and can be found as short as 4/6 with Betfair to reach the Maracanã final on the 7th July. The Brazil boss will have to do without talisman Neymar over the next few weeks though, after the PSG star suffered an ankle injury in a recent 2-0 friendly win over Qatar.

Still, bookmakers imply the Samba boys (1/9) have over a 90% chance of starting the competition with a win. After all, they are playing a Bolivia side who have lost each of their last 14 competitive away fixtures.

La Verde are somewhat of an unknown entity heading into the Copa opener, having been taken over at the start of March by Bolivian domestic league veteran Eduardo Villegas. So far, Villegas has overseen away defeats to France, Japan, and South Korea in his second stint with the national team, as well as a 2-2 draw at home to minnows Nicaragua in his opening outing as manager.

Team News

Tite has indicated that Roberto Firmino and David Neres will be given starting berths for Brazil. Chelsea winger Willian has been called-up to replace Neymar.

Bolivia’s squad is almost entirely made-up of domestic players. Only Luis Haquin and Alejandro Chumacero (both of Club Puebla, Mexico), and Marcelo Martins Moreno (of Shijiazhuang Ever Bright, China), ply their trade outside of the landlocked nation.

Potential Brazil Starting XI: Alisson, Alves, Silva, Miranda, Filipe Luís, Fernandinho, Casemiro, Coutinho, Neres, Willian, Firmino.

Potential Bolivia Starting XI: Lampe, D. Bejarano, Jusino, Haquin, M. Bejarano, Justiniano, Galindo, Castro, Chumacero, Saavedra, Marcelo Martins.

Head To Head

  • Bolivia ground out a goalless draw when the sides last met for a World Cup qualifier in La Paz two years ago. Brazil won the reverse fixture 5-0.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Brazil have won seven of their previous nine when Neymar hasn’t been involved.
  • 11 of Bolivia’s last 14 competitive away games have seen Overs land.

Betting Odds

  • Brazil – 1/9
  • Draw – 37/4
  • Bolivia – 66/1

The Verdict

Brazil flattered to deceive at the World Cup in Russia before being knocked out in the quarter-finals by Belgium, but the Samba boys are a more formidable force when it comes to playing on South American soil.

Tite has won 10 and drawn two of his 12 competitive games as Brazil boss on the continent, including a perfect six wins from six on home turf, four of which have been settled by a three-goal margin or more.

Most bookies have set the Asian Handicap line at a handy +/-2.5 and this should be of great interest to punters when considering the aforementioned trend.

This market went off at 79/100 when the Bolivians visited France in their latest international, so there could be real value in supporting Marathon’s 11/10 for the Seleção to get their tournament off to an emphatic start.

Furthermore, Over 2.75 Goals can be backed at a healthy 39/50 and this is going to be my next selection. This bet will see us profit with a half stakes win should several goals be scored; we’ll return a full payout if four or more strikes manage to find the back of the net in São Paulo.

Five of Tite’s six competitive home wins have featured a minimum of three goals and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the current line move in an upward trajectory closer to kick-off.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Over 2.75 Asian Goals – 39/50 (Bethard)
  • 0.5pts – Brazil -2.5 Asian Handicap – 11/10 (Marathon Bet)