Brighton v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 12/01/19
Mikey Patterson (@ThePattBlogs) previews Brighton v Liverpool and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s 3pm kick-off on the coast by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Brighton v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 12/1/2019
- Time: 15:00
- Venue: Amex Stadium, Brighton
- Channel: N/A
Following the excitement and giant killing glory of the FA Cup recently, our attentions turn back to the domestic leagues in England. The current Premier League leaders Liverpool will be hoping to overcome their recent setbacks when they travel to Brighton on Saturday afternoon. Having surrendered their 7 point lead at the top of the table to Manchester City, a much changed Liverpool team then found themselves out of the FA Cup when they succumbed to a 2-1 defeat away at Wolves.
It is without any doubt that Jurgen Klopp and his side will want to rectify this slight blip in form when they travel to the Amex Stadium on Saturday afternoon. With all that has come before in this fixture, they have every reason to be confident of getting their campaign back on track. The last 3 Premier League games between these two have seen Liverpool come out victorious each time, and their last visit here in December 2017 saw them take the points with an emphatic 5-1 win. Combined with their fantastic season before their defeat at Manchester City, Liverpool will fully fancy their chances of coming home from the south coast with all 3 points and put the pressure back on City before they entertain Wolves on Monday night.
However, despite this run of results against the Reds, Brighton manager Chris Hughton has good reason to be in a positive mood given their current form. Before their 3-1 win away to Bournemouth in the FA Cup, Brighton had not lost in their previous 3 league games, with two of those being good home results, a 1-0 win against Everton and a hard fought 1-1 draw against Arsenal.
The recent match ups between the two suggests that Liverpool should be able to get their title challenge moving back in the right direction after the defeat to City. However, given Brighton’s recent run of form combined with those two strong performances at home, this may not be the forgone conclusion that we would be expect. Personally, I would expect Liverpool to get back to winning ways, especially given the players who should return to the team sheet following the alterations for the FA Cup tie.
Both managers will have selection issues to contend with ahead of this match. For the home side, Chris Hughton will still be without Ryan in goal, but he could well be joined by both Izquierdo and Bernardo on the side lines.
As for Liverpool, manager Jurgen Klopp stated that some of his players felt unwell following the defeat at Manchester City, hence the major alterations for the FA Cup tie at Wolves. Dejan Lovern, who did feature in the FA Cup is set to miss the game with a hamstring injury suffered that night, meaning he joins fellow centre backs Joe Gomez and Joel Matip who are also injured, giving Klopp a defensive headache. He will be hoping the murmurings that Henderson and Lallana are doubtful for the game are nothing more than that, given that he may have to resort to using Fabinho in defence again.
Potential Brighton Starting XI: Button, Montoya, Dunk, Duffy, Bong, Propper, Stephens, March, Gross, Bissouma, Murray
Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Fabinho, Robertson, Wijnaldum, Keita, Milner, Mane, Salah, Firmino
Head To Head
- Liverpool have won all 3 league games between the two, scoring 10 against the Seagulls whilst only conceding once.
- The two games before that (EFL Cup 2011 & FA Cup 2012), saw Liverpool win both of those as well (2-1 & 6-1).
- Liverpool have been ahead by half-time in the last 3 league meetings between the two sides.
- Brighton’s current top scorer in the Premier League is Glenn Murray (8), with Salah (13) setting the pace at Liverpool ahead of Firmino (8).
Key Stats & Facts
- This fixture at the Amex last year saw Liverpool run riot in a 5-1 demolition of Brighton.
- In their last 3 league meetings, Liverpool have been ahead at half-time and gone on to win the game, scoring in the second half in two of those 3 games.
- Brighton have scored in 4 out of 5 of their last league games, playing 3 of those at home and scoring in all of them (against Everton, Arsenal and Chelsea).
- Liverpool’s last 5 league games have all seen a first half goal.
- Liverpool have lead at half-time in 4 out of 5 of their recent Premier League games, and have also scored in the second half of all of those games.
- Brighton 9/1
- Draw 17/4
- Liverpool 3/10
Liverpool need to get back to winning ways, and Brighton will be keen to spoil the party and make it as hard for them as possible.
The recent results between the two suggest a win for the league leaders, but Brighton have shown resilience as of late, and with some good home results to show for it.
If Liverpool line up correctly then they can torment Brighton as they have done in previous games between the two.
I would fancy Liverpool HT/FT with the right line up given the 3/3 recent form for this line in this fixture. Liverpool to score in both halves has occurred 2 out of 3 times. Both teams to score has only occurred once in 3, but given how Brighton have been playing, especially at home, it might be worth a look into as well if the price seems appropriate, Liverpool’s good defensive record will hopefully boost the price of this line but their injury worries could well see the bookies fancy Brighton to get a goal.
Personally, I will probably be looking at the bookings and points. Brighton 20+ points would be on my list as well as some possible individual bookings depending upon the starting line ups.