Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United and provides us with his best bets for Sunday afternoon’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Brighton v Man Utd Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 19/08/18
- Time: 16:00
- Venue: AMEX Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Brighton take on Manchester United on Sunday afternoon in the second round of Premier League fixtures. Brighton managed to survive in the Premier League last season with some impressive displays, particularly at home, seeing them finish 15th in the table and 7 points above the drop zone. Their first game in the new season last weekend saws them go down 2-0 to Watford with the seagulls not having a shot on target.
Meanwhile, Manchester United got off to a great start in their first game of the season. They ran out 2-1 winners against Leicester City and Manager Jose Mourinho was happy with the way his side played despite a turbulent pre-season. United will be looking to keep the pressure off with another win on Sunday.
United go into the game as favourites and I expect that they will leave the AMEX with 3 points. They are priced at 4/5 which isn’t great value so we can look elsewhere in the market. Brighton last season conceded 40% of their goals from set piece situations and I think they will struggle again in this area against a strong united side that scored 14 goals from set pieces last season.
With Set-pieces an issue for Brighton we could probably look to the big men to provide the goals. United Defender, Eric Bailly, doesn’t score too often so his odds of 25/1 to score at any time in the match are probably justified. One player who is used to scoring goals is World Cup Winner Paul Pogba. The Frenchman opened the scoring in the game against Leicester and he is 11/1 (10Bet) to do so on Sunday.
United’s Defence last season conceded just 28 goals across 38 games, only one more than Champions Manchester City. Untied will be looking to that solid defence once more on Sunday and the Red Devils are 17/10 (Unibet) to win the match to nil.
Romelu Lukaku could return to the Manchester United team after beginning their opening game on the bench. Jesse Lingard, Nemanja Matic and Antonio Valencia are all back in training but will not be considered for selection. Valencia's absence means Paul Pogba will continue as captain.
Brighton began with just one of their summer signings in their starting line-up at Watford but may make changes after a disappointing 2-0 defeat. Yves Bissouma and Alireza Jahanbakhsh both featured as a substitute and could be promoted to the starting line-up. Veteran right-back Bruno was forced off at Vicarage Road through injury and joins Florin Andone on the sidelines.
Potential Brighton & Hove Albion Starting XI: Ryan, Bong, Duffy, Dunk, Bernardo, Knockaert, Stephens, Propper, March, Gross, Murray
Potential Manchester United Starting XI: De Ge, Darmian, Bailly, Lindelöf, Shaw, Fred, Pereira, Pogba, Mata, Rashford, Sanchez
Head To Head
- Brighton have won their last two home league games against Manchester United, with these games (in 1982 and 2018) almost 36 years apart.
- United's last win away to Brighton came in April 1982, with the late Ray Wilkins scoring the only goal.
Key Stats & Facts
- The Seagulls have only won one of their last 10 league games (11 in all competitions), with that victory coming against Manchester United in May.
- Brighton had the eighth best home record in the Premier League last season (W7, D8, L4).
- They have won their opening home fixture in only one of their five previous top-flight campaigns (D1, L3), a 2-0 victory against Wolves in 1980.
- Manchester United did not score in their last two away league games of 2017-18, including a 1-0 defeat at Brighton. It is 13 years since they failed to score in three consecutive away league matches.
- United have scored a Premier League goal at 56 of the 58 different stadiums they have played at, with the only exceptions the Amex Stadium and Wembley Stadium.
- Paul Pogba has scored in 11 Premier League games and ended on the winning side in all of them – a joint-record he shares with former Liverpool player Ryan Babel.
- Brighton 9/2
- Draw 5/2
- Manchester United 4/5
United will face a tough task against Brighton but I think they will be able to overcome a Brighton side who are short on goals despite new faces being added in the summer. United’s defensive solidity should come to the fore in this game and they’ll be confident of keeping a Brighton side who are blunt in attack.