Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Bristol City v Reading and provides us with his best bets for Fridays midday clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -3.9pts
Bristol City v Reading Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 19/04/19
- Time: 12:00pm
- Venue: Ashton Gate
- Channel: N/A
Bristol City continue their pursuit of the play offs as they welcome Reading on Good Friday. Currently occupying the 6th and final play off spot, the Robins are a place and a point ahead of Middlesbrough but they do have a game in hand. They'll be targeting this game as a must win in the run-in.
Lee Johnson's side have been the streakiest side in the league. They went unbeaten for 13 straight games between November and February, but then went 5 without a victory, then unbeaten in 5 until their most recent game which was a loss at Villa Park.
The expected goals data backs up the fact City are in the top six mix, they've been better at the back than they used to be. Adam Webster came in to replace cult hero Aden Flint and he's slotted in immensely well alongside Tomas Kalas at the heart of the defence. Going forward they have the physical threat of Famara Diedhiou and the lively Andi Weimann, both of whom have been in the goals of late.
Reading have improved under Jose Gomes and the Berkshire faithfuls have seemingly bought into the style of play the Portuguese has adopted. Having said that, they're not out of the relegation dogfight yet. They currently sit in 19th in the table, 4 points clear of the bottom 3. They're not out of the woods yet and they've got a few tricky games to end the season with West Brom and Middlesbrough on the horizon. Any result here would be huge for the Royals.
Robins goalkeeper Frank Fielding is out for the season. Callum O'Dowda And Korey Smith are returning to fitness.
Omar Richards, Jon Dadi Bodvarsson, John Swift and Saied Ezatolahi were all doubts last weekend and are unlikely to be 100% fit. Sam Baldock is back available though after a thigh injury.
Potential Bristol City Starting XI: O'Leary, Hunt, Kalas, Webster, Da Silva, Elliason, Pack, Brownhill, Weimann, Taylor, Diedhiou.
Potential Reading Starting XI: Martinez, Yiadom, Miazga, Moore, Gunter, Rinomhota, Ejaria, Baker, Barrow, Oliveria, Meite.
Key Stats & Facts
- 3 of Bristol City's last 4 wins have also seen BTTS.
- Reading have seen BTTS land in their last 4 games.
- There have been over 2.5 goals in 7 of Reading's last 8 games.
- There has been over 2.5 goals in the last 3 Bristol City games.
- Reading have failed to win in 16 of their last 17 away fixtures.
- Bristol City – 7/10
- Draw – 29/10
- Reading – 9/2
There's pressure on both sides to get a result here, however the bookmakers make the hosts firm favourites and that's understandable. However, recent matches between the respective pair have seen goals a plenty so instead of taking the 7/10 about Bristol City, I think there's a greater degree of value in taking the 11/4 on a home win with both sides scoring.
Reading have more of a threat going forward now with Mo Barrow and Yakou Meite both in form, Reading have scored in the large majority of games under Jose Gomes. Having said that, they're poor record on the road makes the 9/2 quotes on the visitors justified.
Bristol City have been much the better side over the season and they've scored 10 in their last 5 and should notch at least two here in my eyes against a still vulnerable Reading defence.