Burnley v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 26/11/18
Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Burnley Vs Newcastle and provides us with his best bets for Monday’s 20:00pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Burnley v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 26/11/18
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Channel: Sky Sports Premier League
Both sides entertain viewers under the lights of a chilly November evening and from the comments and audio I have heard, some tipsters on football podcasts writing this game off as a game they will not be rushing to watch.
In response to this, I do indeed wish this game to exceed expectations as a meeting both sides could do with all the points and even though Newcastle with some firms are going off as the favourites, the home side bias still makes toon as given the slight nod.
Sean Dyche is without injured trio Nick Pope, Stephen Ward and James Tarkowski and with Ben Gibson a doubt, Kevin Long should continue alongside Ben Mee in defence.
Steven Defour and Johan Gudmundsson both sustained knocks in the 0-0 draw with Leicester prior to the international break and could be replaced by Jeff Hendrick and Robbie Brady, respectively, though the duo have since returned to full training.
Despite failing to score at the King Power Stadium, Dyche may continue with Chris Wood and Sam Vokes in attack.
Paul Dummett is a doubt having sustained a knock-on international duty, and that could see Javier Manquillo deputise at left-back.
Jamaal Lascelles, Yoshinori Muto and Jonjo Shelvey will all be assessed, but Jamie Sterry and Florian Lejeune are both sidelined for the Magpies.
Rafa Benitez may resist the temptation to make sweeping changes to the side that started the 2-1 win over Bournemouth prior to the international break.
Potential Burnley Starting XI: Hart, Lowton, Long, Mee, Taylor, Lennon, Hendrick, Cork, Brady, Wood and Vokes
Potential Newcastle Starting XI: Dubravka, Yedlin, Schar, Fernandex, Manquillo, Ritchie, Sung-yeung, Diame, Kenedy, Rondon and Perez
Head To Head
- Burnley 1-3-0 (Last four)
Key Stats & Facts
- Newcastle have failed to win their last eight away matches in the Premier League.
- Burnley are winless in their last five Premier League games.
- Burnley – 48/25 Marathonbet
- Draw – 11/5 Bet365
- Newcastle– 9/5 Betfair
The implied odds from the odds compilers themselves suggest they do not have a clue who will win this, so in some respect could make a case for all three outcomes. Can we make a case for all three?
Burnley’s case is surely home advantage and two of their five losses came against Manchester United and Chelsea. They also lost to Watford, but got a positive 4-0 against the formbook against Bournemouth and a 1-1 draw with Huddersfield. Surely Newcastle’s poor away record is a case for home bias and the fact the head to head is in Burnley’s favour very marginally?
The draw is the most likely outcome comparing to the stats with three draws in the last four meetings and is the biggest price of the three outcomes.
Newcastle’s case factors in their recent turnaround in form may sway punters, but bookmakers have surely factored in the short-term form. Although what goes against the toon army is, they have zero wins on the road in the last five this term.
With three of the last four meetings having both teams to score, I checked the markets to see if the price would be anywhere near evens. I was pleasantly surprised even money to be available. On the basis that both sides need something from this game, both need to fight for this and will not playing out a goalless draw.
Under the lights of turf moor, the TV cameras and the post international break, both sides should be relatively fresh again for club football and think both are capable of scoring in a must win encounter.