Burnley v Tottenham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 23/02/19
Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Burnley v Spurs and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s 12:30pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -5.09
Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 23/02/19
- Time: 12:30
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Burnley come into the game with a good unbeaten streak of seven matches, but despite this are only three points off the drop zone. Dyche’s men welcome Spurs, who have been the best side on the road this season pocketing 33 from a possible 39 played for. Spurs have been effective at scoring also and will feel confident in cutting the gap from City and Liverpool, if only temporarily, but psychologically having the points banked may add pressure to the leading two.
Burnley could cause an upset here and at 5/1 may attract some shrewd punters, although team news implies a few key names will be missing. With speculation Harry Kane could make the squad, surely spirits will be riding high and are 73/100 with Marathonbet to trouser the points.
At the time of writing Aaron Lennon and Jonathan Walters will be unavailable for Saturday’s game, with Steven Defour unlikely to feature if not fit enough, but may be on the bench
Matthew Lowton could feature in place of Phil Bardsley at the back, with the possibilities of bit of a switch around pending Sean Dyche’s final team selection
Harry Kane could return earlier than forecasted, but unlikely to feature in the starting eleven as Davies, Alli and Janssen are all absent for the trip to Burnley at the time of writing
Eric Dier may return to the starting line up being considered fit enough to return to the starting eleven
Potential Burnley Starting XI: Heaton, Bardsley, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor, McNeil, Cork, Westwood, Hendrick, Wood and Barnes
Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Rose, Vertonghen, Alderweireld, Trippier, Sissoko, Dier, Winks, Erikson, Son and Liorente
Head To Head
- Burnley 0-2-4 (Last six)
Key Stats & Facts
- Spurs won the reverse fixture to nil back in December and have won the last two meetings to nil.
- Burnley are in a good period of form, unbeaten in all of the last seven
- Spurs have lost just once in the last six in the league and have scored at least twice in all of the last five away
- There has been over 2.5 goals in all of Spurs last three away
- Burnley – 5/1 Betfair
- Draw – 14/5 SkyBet
- Spurs – 18/25 Marathonbet
I like Sean Dyche’s MO (Modus Operandi), manages his resources and attempts to maximise this where possible and are three points above the drop zone. Statistically, Burnley have been marginally stronger at home than away, taking 14 of their 27 at Turf Moor. Spurs are the best away side in the league winning 11 of 13 having netted 30 averaging 2.31 goals per game on the road. The secret to their success has been scoring from a set piece and dominating possession to frustrate their opponents. Burnley themselves are good at taking the ball in aerial situations and have averaged just below two goals per game conceded.
The match odds lean favourably implying Spurs have a 58.14% in winning the game and having won 11 from 13, you might agree with this pricing at Marathonbet. With Harry Kane potentially making an appearance back from injury, we shouldn’t assume he will continue from where he left off. Spurs have been able to cope without Harry’s presence but will welcome him back in a heartbeat.
Dyche’s Burnley are BIG at 5/1 in respect that this implies a 16.67% chance of this being the winning outcome and find it difficult to make a case despite being unbeaten in the last seven. With Manchester City in League Cup Final action, and Liverpool at Manchester United on Sunday, banking the points and cutting the gap from the front runners is something Spurs cannot afford to miss out on.
From the number of betting possibilities, I considered the win to nil at 2/1, as well as the handicap, thus to win by two or more at the same price. I find the win price at 8/11 appealing, although the Asian Handicap -1 bet is 8/7 (2.14) with BetVictor adds some spice. Looking at the corners market, Spurs average 4.69 corners on the road with Burnley averaging 3.58 at home, so the corners market may be an angle worth considering.