Cardiff v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 31/03/19

Cardiff v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Cardiff City v Chelsea and provides us with his best bets for this Super Sunday clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -0.66pts

Cardiff City v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 31/03/19
  • Time: 14:05
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Maurizio Sarri will be hoping that the form of some of his players over the international break will carry on for the final stretch of the season.

Their poor form prior to the break, only managing a draw at home to Wolves before putting in a woeful showing at Goodison Park, has meant that the Blues currently sit in 6th and 3 points off Arsenal in fourth.

18-year-old Callum Hudson-Odoi has been a major talking point since the start of the calendar year after Chelsea rejected numerous bids from Bayern Munich in January for the winger. Sarri has presented the youngster with a fairly limited number of opportunities to impress him, mainly just getting gigs in cup games and the Europa League, he is yet to start a PL game. However, I don’t think there’s any doubt that this kid will be special. His ability to isolate defenders 1v1 is unique for someone of his age whilst his comfort on the ball is very impressive, he certainly has the attributes to succeed in the Premier League and I would even say he’s a greater talent than Dortmund’s Jadon Sancho.

His performance against Montenegro showed his talent to a broader audience, however, one man who wasn’t overly impressed was Sarri, disregarding the level of opponent (somewhat fair) and admitting he only saw 20 minutes of England’s game. Despite this, the Chelsea boss has also admitted that Hudson-Odoi will likely start 2 or 3 of Chelsea’s remaining fixtures; it’s genuinely a lottery whether he’ll start on Sunday.

Cardiff City find themselves in the middle of a tight relegation battle between a few sides. The Bluebirds sit in 18th but are only 2 points off Burnley in 17th and Southampton in 16th. They also have a game in hand over Burnley as well.

The home side picked up an invaluable win over West Ham two weeks ago with Junior Hoilet and Victor Camarasa scoring in a 2-0 victory.

It may have been a win that has kept them in the race for survival. I say this because Cardiff have still got to travel to the Etihad and Old Trafford as well as hosting Liverpool before the end of the season. This tough run of fixtures puts an enormous amount of pressure in Cardiff’s other games against Burnley, Brighton, Palace and Fulham. You would have to say that that game at Turf Moor in 2 weeks-time will go a long way to determining who stays in the top-flight for next season.

Overall, I would say that Cardiff have slightly exceeded my expectations this season. Their squad is down there with Huddersfield’s as being the worst in the league as they lack a real ‘x-factor’ going forward. I think Neil Warnock’s done a good job with this group of players and I think many Cardiff fans would’ve taken the position they are in now before the season started.

Chelsea’s poor away form in 2019 will give the home side some confidence that they can get a result on Sunday.

Team News

Cardiff were dealt another injury blow over the international break with Callum Paterson picking up a long-term injury whilst playing for Scotland. He joins defender Sol Bamba on the long-term absentee’s list.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Davide Zappacosta and Ethan Ampadu are all doubts for this fixture. Callum Hudson-Odoi will also be hoping for his first Premier League start after impressing on his full international debut on Monday. 

Potential Cardiff Starting XI: Etheridge, Peltier, Morrison, Ecuele Manga, Bennett, Gunnarsson, Arter. Bacuna, Murphy, Reid, Zohore.

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Arrizabalaga, Azpiliceuta, Rudiger, Luiz, Emerson, Jorginho, Kante, Barkley, Pedro, Higuain, Hazard.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Cardiff-15, Draw-10, Chelsea-19.
  • Cardiff haven’t beaten Chelsea since 1986.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Chelsea’s xG of 48.42 this season is the lowest out of the top 6 sides.
  • They have won just one of their 5 away games in 2019, not scoring in any of those losses and conceding 14.
  • Gonzalo Higuain has scored three goals in seven Premier League games, with all of those strikes coming against teams in the relegation zone: two versus Huddersfield, one against Fulham.
  • Cardiff have lost 16 successive Premier League games against the sides currently in the top six since a 2-2 draw against Manchester United in November 2013.
  • The home side are on the verge of beating their points tally of 30 in the 2013/14 season (currently on 28).
  • Cardiff are without two of their top goal scorers- Sol Bamba and Callum Paterson are out with long-term issues and have 4 goals this season. Victor Camarasa and Bobby Reid also have four.
  • They have been relatively stout defensively this season keeping 8 Premier League clean sheets, which, prior to the weekend,  was more than Arsenal (six), Manchester United and Wolves (both seven).

Betting Odds

  • Cardiff- 8/1
  • Draw- 18/5
  • Chelsea- 7/15

The Verdict

The first bet I’m going to back is Gonzalo Higuain scoring. The Argentine has scored all three of his PL goals against teams in the relegation zone and seems to get plenty of opportunities in most games he plays, averaging 4 shots a game in the PL since joining in January. I’m hoping that the striker will have his shooting boots on this Sunday. The other bet I like for this one is for Chelsea to win with under 3.5 goals. I think Chelsea will be too strong for this Cardiff side with players like Ross Barkley, N’Golo Kante and Callum Hudson-Odoi having superb international breaks. This Chelsea side under Sarri don’t tend to blow teams away either, especially away from home, scoring just 21 in 15 games. If Chelsea get the win on Sunday, I’m confident that it’ll only be a 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Gonzalo Higuain to score – 6/5 (Sky Bet)
  • 2pts – Chelsea to win and under 3.5 goals – 23/20 (Betway)