Cardiff v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 21/04/19

Cardiff v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Cardiff v Liverpool and provides us with his best bets for Easter Sundays game off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +8.05pts

Cardiff v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 21/04/2019
  • Time: 16:00
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Liverpool find themselves in the best position in years. They currently sit 2 points clear at the top of the league, although City do have a game in hand. They have also just progressed to the semi-final of the Champions League, making it two seasons in a row they’ve made it to the final 4, and will be hoping to go one step further this season and win it. However with the League and Champions League in sight it may start to become a factor that they need to prioritise one over the other to make sure the squad are getting an adequate rest.

Cardiff haven’t really been getting the results they deserve of late. They clearly deserved to beat Chelsea after the poor officiating, and since then they also did enough to beat Burnley but two Chris Wood headers ended that hope. They did however pick up a huge 3 points on their latest outing against Brighton, which was a huge result in their bid for survival as Brighton are their main competitors. Cardiff are still 2 points adrift from safety, but it is conceivable that one win could do it, as Brighton have an awfully difficult run in with Manchester City, Spurs and Arsenal all to play.

With 4 games left in the season these are two of the teams in the League who have everything to play for, and points are like gold dust. With City now out of the Champions League it is likely that Liverpool will feel any drop of points probably rules them out of the title race, as they will have much quicker turnarounds when the Semi Finals come at the end of April. The only thing they can do though is keep getting the 3 points on the board which they have been doing ease recently, and in fact they haven’t lost a game in the League since the 7th of January.

Team News

Cardiff have captain Bamba still sidelined for what will be the rest of the season. Patterson is also still out to likely Niasse will keep his place despite his lack of goals.

Liverpool have Lovren still likely to miss out and won’t be rushed back with the return of Gomez, and Lallana and Chamberlain both close to making a return to first team football.

Potential Cardiff Starting XI: Etheridge, Peltier, Morrison, Manga, Bennett, Ralls, Gunnarsson, Hoilett, Camarasa, Mendez-Laing, Niasse

Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Alisson, Robertson, Van Dijk, Gomez, Milner, Wijnaldum, Keita, Henderson, Salah, Mane, Firmino

Head To Head

  • Liverpool won the reversed fixture 4-1.
  • In fact Liverpool have put 19 goals past Cardiff in the last 5 meetings between the pair.
  • Surprisingly Cardiff actually historically have a better record than Liverpool, with 18 wins in this fixture as oppose to Liverpool’s 13.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both sides come into the game after victories midweek, Cardiff coming out on top in a huge 3 pointer v Brighton, and Liverpool adding misery to Porto’s pile by beating them 4-1 in the second leg making it 6-1 on aggregate.
  • Each of Liverpool’s last 4 away matches in the League to see over 1.5 has seen the first 2 goals shared equally.

Betting Odds

  • Cardiff 17/1
  • Draw 11/5
  • Liverpool 1/5

The Verdict

The outrights in the game are pretty crazy for both sides, I’ve not seen many teams go off at 16/1 at home before and I don’t think I’ve ever seen Liverpool go off as short as 1/5 away. I don’t think the odds actually reflect Cardiff fairly, as even despite the results they have been putting in stellar performances, such as the game they had taken away from them in an extremely poor refereeing show against Chelsea.

I would expect goals to be scarce as both teams will keep it a cagey affair. 2 of Liverpool’s last 3 games have seen under 2.5 goals and 4 of Cardiff’s last 5 have seen it land. It is getting to the point in the season now were points are a virtue, so for Cardiff to even get a point against a side like Liverpool would be a huge achievement, and I can’t see them matching Liverpool goal for goal so their best chance Is to keep this as low scoring as possible.

I am also taking a little punt on Cardiff. Draw no bet sits at 12/1 and I am only going on it for the sheer value. I haven’t seen a home side be priced up so generously this season, so it is more of a too good to turn down price rather than a strategic play.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Under 2.5 goals @ 6/4 (WilliamHill)
  • 0.5pts – Cardiff draw no bet @ 12/1 (Bet365)