Chelsea v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 08/12/18

Chelsea v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Chelsea v Man City and provides us with his best bets for Saturday's evening kick-off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Chelsea v Manchester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 08/12/18
  • Time: 5:30
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Channel: BT Sport 1

After losing two out of their last three Premier League games, this game for Chelsea probably couldn’t have come at much of a worse time.

After going 18 games unbeaten in all competitions, Maurizio Sarri’s men have struggled of late, two away defeats at the hands of Spurs and then Wolves have come either side of a 2-0 defeat of a poor Fulham side.

Their recent dip in form has seen them slip down to 4th, level on points with Arsenal in 5th, and are already 10 points behind their opponents on Saturday evening, who sit pretty at the top of the table.

Pep Guardiola’s side is arguably even better than the record-setting title winners of last season. They come into the game still boasting an undefeated domestic record; the addition of Riyad Mahrez from Leicester City in the summer has added to City’s potent attacking threat and allows more rotation between the likes of Sane, Sterling, B.Silva and D.Silva whilst the signing of Ayermic Laporte has further solidified a backline that has improved under Pep Guardiola.

Chelsea will be looking towards Eden Hazard this weekend to conjure up a big performance. The Belgian has only notched up 2 goals since his world-class strike at Anfield in the Carabao Cup in September; his last goal in fact, came in the 3-0 defeat of Southampton in early October. Despite this, I’m backing him to produce on the big stage this Saturday.

In addition, it must be time for Sarri to trust Ruben Loftus-Cheek on the big stage, the dynamic midfielder has impressed with almost every appearance this season, notching 6 goals including a Europa League hat-trick in the process. His direct, driving runs from midfield offer a different threat to Chelsea’s other options in the position and I believe he can make it a tough day for Fernandinho and City’s defence.

Team News

Chelsea are relatively healthy coming into this big fixture on the weekend. Regular starters such as David Luiz, Jorginho and Mateo Kovacic were on the bench for their 2-1 defeat against Wolves on Wednesday, Ross Barkley wasn’t in the squad after a knock he sustained in Chelsea’s most recent Europa League fixture.

Gabriel Jesus will more than likely start up top for the away side with Sergio Aguero ruled out. Kevin De Bruyne is still not fit enough to return; the Belgian hasn’t played since injuring his knee in training in early November. Raheem Sterling did not feature in City’s most recent win away at Watford, whilst Ayermic Laporte came on as a substitute for Vincent Kompany who is a doubt for this fixture.

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Kepa, Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Alonso, Jorginho, Kante, Loftus-Cheek, Hazard, Giroud, Pedro.

Potential Man City Starting XI: Ederson, Walker, Stones, Laporte, Delph, Fernandinho, D.Silva, Gundogan, Sterling, Jesus, Mahrez.

Head To Head

  • 160 meetings between the two sides; 66 Chelsea wins, 55 Man City wins and 39 draws.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both games in the Premier League last season ended in a 1-0 win for Man City.
  • Pep Guardiola’s record against Maurizio Sarri is 2-0.
  • Man City have the highest away xG in the league-15.54 and lowest away xGA (expected goals against)- 5.18.
  • Man City win and BTTS has occurred 4 out of last 5 Premier League games.
  • Raheem Sterling has the most goals and assists in the PL this season (14); Eden Hazard has joint second (13).
  • BTTS in every Chelsea game against last year’s top 6 this season.

Betting Odds

  • Chelsea 3/1
  • Draw 14/5
  • Man City 19/20

The Verdict

Eden Hazard’s lack of fortune in front of goal has got to change soon. He started the league season superbly netting 7 in 8 games and with Chelsea really needing a result here, I think their main man will get on the scoresheet for them.

I do think Chelsea will score first and early on, they need a result to get themselves out of this poor run. However, I think this City side will have too much quality for a Chelsea defence that is certainly not as stable as it was under Antonio Conte. Deep-lying midfielder Jorginho, whose Sarri’s system is pretty much based around, has been exploited defensively. I’m expecting City’s attacking midfielders to have a field day on Saturday evening – especially for whoever lines up on the right-hand side against Marcos Alonso.

Finally, I think my last bet depends on whether Loftus-Cheek gets the nod, which I think he will. His pace in midfield will ensure that Fernandinho has a tough job to do and I can see the young midfielder getting the better of the 33 year-old on a few occasions on Saturday.

Recommended Bets

  • Man City to win and BTTS – 13/5 (bet365)
  • Eden Hazard to score anytime – 2/1 (SkyBet)
  • Fernandinho to be carded – 2/1 (Betfred)