Chelsea v Wolves Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/03/19

Chelsea v Wolves Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Chelsea v Wolverhampton Wanderers and provides us with his best bets for the second part of the triple bill of Premier League action on Sunday by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -5.89pts

Chelsea v Wolverhampton Wanderers Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/03/19
  • Time: 14:05
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Wolves will be looking to continue their rather impressive record against the top 6 as they travel to Stamford Bridge to take on a Chelsea side that have seen their form improve over the past couple of games.

We haven’t seen this entertaining Wolves side come up against top 6 opposition since their anti-climactic 3-0 defeat at Man City back in January, a game where an early Willy Boly sending off gave them little chance of getting a result.

However, over the course of the season, we’ve seen how devastating this Wolves side can be on the counter, especially against the ‘big’ teams. One game that stands out is the comeback victory against a confident Spurs side back in December, pulling away from Spurs in a 3-1 win. Not to mention another come from behind win against Sunday’s opposition, where goals from Raul Jimenez and Diogo Jota helped Wolves past the Blues at Molineux back at the start of December.

This is certainly a Wolves side that has the foundations to bridge the gap massively between the top 6 and the ‘rest’ over the next couple of seasons. They currently sit in 7th with Chelsea in 6th; however, the Blues are 13 points ahead of them with a game in hand, highlighting the gap that exists at the moment.

Nevertheless, they have a great core of players at Molineux. A goalkeeper who helped Portugal to the Euro 2016 championship, three good centre-halves that have led to Wolves having the best defensive record for teams outside the top 6, a wing-back who has 7 G+A’s this season, a CM who has played a the highest level for a number of years, another CM who could play at the highest level right now as well as two front men, who have combined for 17G’s and 9A’s this season.

Chelsea have got to be careful as this is a game that could certainly dent their top 4 hopes.

We’ve seen their performances improve over recent weeks with that Carabao Cup defeat seemingly the turning point. Since then they’ve picked up wins in two London derbies; beating Spurs 2-0 at home before pipping a rejuvenated Fulham side last Sunday.

Centre-midfielder Jorginho, who has been the subject of vast criticism from around September onwards, probably put in his performance of the season last week, which was complemented with an excellent finish, a goal that ended up being the difference between the two sides. Chelsea will be hoping for a good run of form for their ‘regista’, a man that is seemingly so key for Sarri’s system that has won him so much.

Gonzalo Higuain also picked up a goal last weekend with a neat finish. The 31-year-old has 3 PL goals in 5 appearances and has looked relatively sharp since his January move from Serie A. With Chelsea struggling to replace Diego Costa, a player that was crucial in two title-winning seasons, could they have found their man with Gonzalo?

Team News 

Maurizio Sarri will be looking to rotate after Thursday’s game against Dynamo Kiev; Eden Hazard, Cesar Azpilicueta, Antonio Rudiger and N’Golo Kante are all expected to start on Sunday after being rested midweek.

The away side will be without centre-half Ryan Bennett, who starts his two-game suspension whilst Rui Patricio is set to return in goal at the expense of John Ruddy.

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Kepa, Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Emerson, Jorginho, Kante, Barkley, Hazard, Higuain, Willian.

Potential Wolves Starting XI: Patricio, Doherty, Boly, Dendoncker, Coady, Jonny, Neves, Moutinho, Saiss, Jota, Jimenez.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Chelsea-41, Draw-26, Wolves-29.
  • Reverse fixture at Molineux ended in a 2-1 victory for Wolves.
  • PL all-time: Chelsea-7, Draw-0, Wolves-2.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Chelsea have won 3 of their last 4, their last home loss came back in December.
  • Chelsea have kept clean sheets in half of their PL home games this season.
  • The home side are searching for three league wins in a row, something they haven’t achieved since their 5 game win streak to start the season.
  • Wolves have lost just one of their last seven league games (W4, D2). Only the two Manchester sides and Arsenal have taken more points than Wolves during that spell.
  • Wolves record vs the top 6 this season: W2, D3, L3.
  • Nuno Espírito Santo’s side are unbeaten in their five Premier League games in London this season (W3, D2).
  • Striker Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in seven goals in his last seven Premier League games, with five goals and two assists- he is one goal short of equalling Steven Fletcher’s Wolves PL record for goals scored in a single campaign.
  • Eden Hazard currently has 23 G+A’s so far this season (12G’s, 11A’s), he is the only PL player to achieve double digits in both these stats this season and the Belgian has equalled his G+A’s best of 23 in 2014/15.
  • Hazard along with Pedro are the only Chelsea players to score 8+ PL goals so far, next highest scorer has 3 (Morata had 5 but now on loan at Atletico).

Betting Odds

  • Chelsea 4/7
  • Draw 10/3
  • Wolves 6/1

The Verdict

This game is a tough one to call, I haven’t seen this Wolves side too much over recent weeks and it’ll be interesting to see how their fare against a relatively in-form Chelsea side. Staying away from the outright market, I’m looking a BTTS at just over evens. Chelsea have been held scoreless at the Bridge on 3 occasions this season, all against teams outside the top 6, but I think they’ll get on the scoresheet in this one with Gonzalo Higuain settling in nicely at his new club. Eden Hazard is also due a productive day and I think he’ll get some joy in the channel between the centre-back and right-wing back, a weakness in the 5 at the back system. Wolves have also been deadly against sides who like to have the ball, which Chelsea certainly do. The home side doesn’t move the ball with too much zip and they are extremely liable to the counter (watch Bournemouth away for an example), I have no doubts that this Wolves side will create opportunities in transition on Sunday and they certainly have the players to finish the chances off.

Another bet that’s worth a punt is Wolves winning from behind at 18/1. This is a bet that came in when these two sides last met and Wolves have also won from behind against Spurs. This a dangerous side that are deadly on the counter, the ideal scenario would be 1-1 (Chelsea scoring first) and the home side pressing hard with 20 minutes to go. It’s a longshot but I think it’s worth a punt.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Both teams to score – 101/100 (Marathon Bet)
  • 1pt – Wolves to win from behind- 18/1 (Marathon Bet)