Crystal Palace v Tottenham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 27/01/19

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s FA Cup 4th round clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +1.85pts

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 27/01/19
  • Time: 16:00
  • Venue: Selhurst Park
  • Channel: BT Sport 2

Spurs will be looking to avoid two cup eliminations in the space of 4 days as Mauricio Pochettino takes his injury-riddled side to Selhurst Park on Sunday afternoon.

Their crushing defeat at the hands of Eden Hazard Chelsea on penalties in the Carabao Cup semi-final has realistically left this competition as the only chance for some silverware this season (*remember*, Pochettino needs a Carabao/FA Cup to turn his Spurs side into serial winners and ensure his time at the club was actually a success). Jokes aside, this game on Sunday has the makings of a difficult encounter for the away side.

Roy Hodgson’s Crystal Palace side is full of talent. Aaron Wan-Bissaka has established himself as one of the league’s finest right-backs and performances from James Tomkins/McArthur have certainly gone under the radar this season. Forward Wilfired Zaha has somewhat underperformed in terms of G+A’s output so far this season with only 3 goals and 2 assists to his name, but you’d feel that he will be at the centre of anything good for Palace on Sunday.

There’s no doubt that this Palace team has underperformed, they currently sit in 14th, but only 3 points off Cardiff who occupy the final relegation spot. However, Hodgson has made his team incredibly hard to beat, especially against the top 6. They’ve picked up draws against Arsenal and Manchester United and have beaten Manchester City at the Etihad already this season. Some of their defeats to the big boys have been incredibly tight, one being the 1-0 defeat to Spurs at home back in November.

Spurs have looked short of ideas going forward since the losses of Harry Kane, Dele Alli and Heung Min Son. They certainly miss Kane’s ability to create from a deeper role and without the likes of Alli, Moura and Son, they lack anyone with any desire to get in-behind. Danny Rose has been a key outlet in their past two games, I feel the form of the left-back over the next month will be crucial to Spurs’ season.

With the depletion of the Spurs squad at the moment, Palace will feel they have a real chance in this one. I expect Hodgson to deploy a full strength team, although they have a huge game at Southampton on Wednesday, whilst Pochettino will likely rotate after Thursday’s high-intensity game.

Team News        

With Wayne Hennesey and Vicente Guaita still injured, we could see a debut for 21-year old keeper Lucas Perri who joined the Eagles on loan until the end of the season. Pape Souare is also unavailable with a shoulder injury that will keep him out until March.

Harry Kane and Dele Alli are in the early stages of rehab for their respective injuries. Spurs were also hit with some more injury woes on Thursday with Ben Davies and Moussa Sissoko likely out for Sunday’s game. Heung Min Son is also unavailable despite South Korea getting knocked out of the Asia Cup on Friday. On a positive note; Victor Wanyama, Eric Dier and Lucas Moura returned to training this week with both Dier and Moura playing on Thursday.

Potential Crystal Palace Starting XI: Perri, Wan-Bissaka, Tomkins, Sakho, Van-Aanholt, McArthur, Miliojevic, Kouyate, Townsend, Zaha, Benteke.

Potential Spurs Starting XI: Vorm, Trippier, Foyth, Sanchez, Walker-Peters, Skipp, Wanyama, Lamela, Lucas, Eriksen, Llorente.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Palace-11, Draw-13, Spurs-29.
  • FA Cup: Palace-2, Draw-1, Spurs-2.

Key Stats & Facts

  • In the last round; Spurs steamrolled past Tranmere (7-0) whilst Palace scraped past Grimsby (1-0).
  • Last 5 meeting have ended 1-0 Spurs.
  • Since Pochettino arrived at Spurs, 10/11 meetings between the sides have been settled by a one goal margin or 0-0.
  • Spurs are without 3 of their 4 top scorers this season- Kane: 20, Son: 12, Alli: 7.
  • The return of Lucas Moura will certainly be a boost, the Brazilian has 8 goals in all comps this season.
  • Palace have scored just 6 times at home this season, being held scoreless in 7/11 games at Selhurst Park.
  • Andros Townsend and Luka Miliojevic are Palace’s top-scorers with 6 goals apiece.
  • U2.5 goals in 14/23 Palace PL games this season.

Betting Odds

  • Crystal Palace 46/25
  • Draw 12/5
  • Spurs 17/10

The Verdict

It’s no surprise that Spurs are only slight favourites for this one with all the injuries they currently have. I really think this is a tough tie for Spurs, especially with the confidence Palace would’ve gained from their performance at Anfield last week, albeit in a 4-3 defeat.

Spurs could really struggle to create much with the attacking options they have available to them, there will have to be some individual magic from Lucas Moura or Christian Eriksen if they are to break this stout Palace defence down. With all this in mind, I’m backing Palace to get the win.

Pochettino will likely rest his two elite defenders and replace them with the talented, but less experienced combination of Foyth and Sanchez. If I was Wilfried Zaha I would stay on the left-hand side as much as possible so I could go 1v1 against Kieran Trippier, who has been poor for Spurs this season and usually struggles against pace.

With 9 of the last 11 meetings ending in a winning margin of 1 goal, I like the look of this one finishing in similar fashion at 5/4.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Crystal Palace to win – 181/100 (Marathon Bet)
  • 2pts – Winning margin 1 goal (either team) – 5/4 (Betway)