Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Ecuador v Chile and provides us with his best bets for this Group C encounter by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -7.36pts
Ecuador v Chile Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 22/06/19
- Time: 00:00
- Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
- Channel: Premier Sports
It would be fair to say that both of these nations had something of a contrasting start to life at the 2019 Copa America. Ecuador won 4-0. Chile won 4-0. That is the plain and simple facts we can take from those respective matches. Ecuador therefore find themselves in the situation where they at the very, very least need a point from this one to take matters to the final group game, or even better a win. Chile on the flip side have the pressure taken off them to a degree, although the game with Japan was much closer than the end result suggested. Another three points will be on their agenda as they look to remove the need for having to beat Uruguay in the final group contest to confirm qualification.
Ecuador have not won a competitive match since November 2016, and they are very much using this tournament as something of an experiment to a degree. Chile are certainly coming to the end of their current cycle of players; ones which have overseen victory in the last two Copa America’s. For them, their time in Brazil is a chance for one last hurrah, but they’ll face a stern test from Ecuador in Salvador.
Ecuador will be without the suspended Jose Quintero following his dismissal in their opening ground match versus Uruguay. Hernan Dario Gomez however would likely have considering some changes anyway considering their disappointing performance, plus the fact he may wish to spread the minutes around his roster given their general approach for this tournament. Pedro Velasco should start at full back, whilst Romario Ibarra is another itching for a starting berth.
Chile on the other hand will probably see no reason to make any switches following their convincing opening win over Japan. However, Alexis Sanchez was substituted late on in that match and was spotted with an ice pack on his ankle. Coach Reinaldo Rueda insists the player is fine and it was merely precautionary.
Potential Ecuador Starting XI: Dominguez, Velasco, Mina, Achilier, Caicedo, Intriago, Orejuela, A.Valencia, Mena, Ibarra, E.Valencia.
Potential Chile Starting XI: Arias, Isla, Medel, Maripan, Beausejour, Aranguiz, Pulgar, Vidal, Fuenzalida, Vargas, Sanchez
Head To Head
- The last nine meetings between these two nations has seen either side win, with no draws. The most recent encounter came in October 2017, when Chile needed an 85th Sanchez goal to secure a 2-1 win. This was revenge for Ecuador dishing out a 3-0 beating to Chile earlier in the latest World Cup qualification group stage.
- Chile have been victorious in three of the last four clashes with Ecuador. This includes a match in the 2015 Copa America, when second half goals from Vidal and Vargas earned a 2-0 triumph on the night.
- This has traditionally been a match which has favoured the home team (when not on neutral soil). Believe it or not, we have to go all the way back to 1977 for when an outright away team won. Chile won 1-0 in Ecuador on that occasion, with all the other games afterwards either being won by the home team or it was played in a Copa America.
Key Stats & Facts
- The 4-0 loss to Uruguay on matchday one extended Uruguay’s winless run to five matches, four of which were friendlies. Their last win came in November when edging Panama 2-1 away from home.
- November 2016 was the last time that Ecuador won a competitive international. This was a 3-0 score at home to Venezuela, with their seven wins since then all coming in friendlies over nations such as Peru, Jamaica, Honduras and Trinidad & Tobago.
- Chile began their 2019 Copa America in perfect fashion with their 4-0 rout over Japan. This continued their fine record in this competition, of which they’ve won the last two editions. The last team to defeat them in a Copa America was Argentina in 2016 during the opening match of the group stage.
- It would be fair to say that Japan had enough opportunities to score a goal or two in their 4-0 loss, and it was something of a rare clean sheet for Chile. That was only their fifth clean sheet in their last 19 matches in all competitions.
- Ecuador 100/30
- Draw 5/2
- Chile 7/8
We’ll try to keep things pretty simple for this game, and both teams to score is our selection. I am pleasantly surprised to see quotes of 10/11 thrown about. Anyone who saw Chile’s open game with Japan will believe there is real value in that. Also, Chile aren’t known for their clean sheets, and they were just fortunate Japan lacked end product on the night. That was actually their fifth clean sheet in their previous 19 games in all competitions. The market is likely as it is given that Ecuador looked rather timid versus Uruguay. However, the red card certainly played a part in that, and they were actually pretty close to taking a very early lead in that one through an almost defensive error. Whilst the Copa America clearly isn’t top of their agenda it what would, they are still a team that is known for scoring goals. Whilst they had a bit of a nightmare in failing to qualify for the World Cup in Russia, they actually only failed to score in 3/18, and those came versus Brazil, Argentina and Colombia. They haven’t been flushed with goals in more recent times, but it is tough to judge friendlies for face value. I’m more than happy to expect them to give Chile a bit of a test here. Chile aren’t the force of old and just aren’t capable of getting about the pitch in their pressing manner like they could. Ecuador have a point to prove after Uruguay, and I fancy them to score at the very least. BTTS has also paid out in three of the last five head-to-head meetings. This is a confident selection.