Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews England vs Kosovo and provides us with his best bets for Tuesday’s Euro 2020 Qualifying clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- Profit & Loss: +17.49
England v Kosovo Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 10/09/19
- Time: 19:45
- Venue: St Mary’s Stadium
- Channel: ITV
1st place England meet 2nd place Kosovo for the first time at St Mary’s stadium on Tuesday night in what will be an intriguing encounter in Group A. Kosovo have surprised plenty of people with their performances in the group so far and their 2-1 win over 3rd placed Czech Republic has put them in a great place to qualify for their first tournament.
Kosovo are on an impressive unbeaten run that stretches back to 2017 and they have picked up some impressive results during that time. Their 2-2 draw against Denmark stands out, particularly as they were winning 2-1 until the 90th minute. They could pose a few issues for the Three Lions on Tuesday.
England breezed past Bulgaria without having to do too much and they’ll know that a win in this game will go a long way to winning the group. England are unbeaten in European Qualifying since November 2007 and whilst I expect Kosovo to give a good account of themselves I don’t expect England to be dropping points here.
England will be without Wan-Bisaka and Jesse Lingard who have returned to Manchester United with injuries.
Kosovo have no injury concerns ahead of the meeting on the south coast, with neither side missing players through suspension.
Potential England Starting XI: Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Keane, Maguire, Rose; Rice, Henderson, Barkley; Sancho, Sterling, Kane.
Potential Kosovo Starting XI: Muric; Vojvoda, Rhahmani, Aliti, Hadergjonaj; Voca, Halimi; Zhegrova, Celina, Rashani; Muriqi.
Key Stats & Facts
- Since the turn of the century, England have recorded 16 ECQ home victories, with 14 being won by at least a -1 handicap.
- There have been an average of 10.75 corners per match across Kosovo’s ECQ fixtures so far.
- Vedat Muriqi has scored in Kosovo’s last two ECQ games- his nation has won every game that he’s scored in (W6).
- England 1/11
- Draw 14/1
- Kosovo 145/4
With Kosovo’s recent impressive displays fresh in the mind it would be tempting to look at the double chance market which has Kosovo or draw at 89/10 (MBet) but I think it would be a huge upset if England where to drop points in this game.
England have been in fine goalscoring form and I think they’ll be able to carry it on against Kosovo. The Three Lions are blessed with pace and goals up front and I think this will be the key to the match on Tuesday. With the likes of Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling and Jaden Sancho in attack I think there could be plenty of goals at St Mary’s. England have recorded a 4-0 and 5-0 victory in their last two matches, and they have recorded an aggregate score line of 21-0 across their last 6 matches against teams currently ranked 100th or worse. This works out as 3.5 goals a game and I think England there could be over 3.5 goals on Tuesday. England to win and over 3.5 goals in the match is 23/20 (Coral) and I think that is a good odds against angle in match that on paper is heavily weighted in England’s favour.
A feature of England’s recent matches has been Harry Kane scoring penalties. There have been 4 penalties awarded in England’s last 5 matches and I think there’s a decent case for there to be one awarded here. England will have plenty of the ball and they also possess a lot of trickery in attack with the likes of Sancho, Sterling and Rashford. If all goes to plan the England attack will be pushing back the Kosovan defence and hopefully for us this will lead to a late lunge. A penalty to be awarded in the game is priced at 9/4 (William Hill).
I like the look of Michael Keane to score at anytime in the match if he gets the start on Tuesday night. The Everton centre back is priced at 9/1 (Paddy Power). Keane doesn’t find the back of the net too often but from previous experience of watching England a lot of the games against smaller opposition can see a defender open the scoring. Harry Maguire did take my eye but I felt he was priced too short at 5/1 for the average punter. If Keane starts, he should get plenty of opportunities to go up from the back at corners. England are 4/6 (SkyBet) to get over 10.5 corners