Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Everton v Liverpool and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s 16:15 pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss:-5.49pts

Everton v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 03/03/19
  • Time: 16:15
  • Venue: Goodison Park
  • Channel: Sky Sports Main Event

It does not feel like that in the distant past this fixture was treated in the same category as the old firm derby and was played at lunchtime. However, the last few meetings have gone from this tradition and is being played at 16:15pm hopefully with some fans not too tanked up before the game.

Everton are 18 meetings without a win, and one memory that springs to light was a weekend away in Blackpool over 10 years ago when Phil Neville carried out a demon save to stop Liverpool scoring  and kopped (pardon the pun) a sending off. This game at one point was one fixture where the shortest price for a sending off was in this match with Betway as short as 12/5 and BetVictor 3/1 for any player to be shown a red.

Liverpool are certainly riding high, something, which Everton are not with four defeats in six, but can the Toffee’s spoil the Merseyside party this weekend? 5/4 on Everton not to lose suggests so!

Team News

Kurt Zouma is expected to return since being suspended previously.

André Gomes could return to the fold but no other changes from their midweek game, which they won 3-0.

Roberto Firmino is expected back as Henderson also makes his case to regain the captain’s armband on Sunday.

Potential Everton Starting XI: Pickford, Digne, Zouma, Keane, Coleman, Gueye, Schneiderlin, Richarlison, Sigurdsson, Walcott and Calvert-Lewin

Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Allison, Robertson, Dijk, Matip, Alexander-Arnold, Fabinho, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Mane, Firmino, Salah

Head to Head: Liverpool 4-2-0 (Last six)

Key Stats & Facts

  • Everton have been tight in this fixture at Goodison drawing five of the last six meetings.
  • Keeping this fixture tight, the tie at Goodison has seen fewer than three goals in nine of the last eleven encounters.
  • Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last three league games.
  • Liverpool are undefeated in thirteen of their last fourteen league games.
  • Liverpool’s last three away games have resulted in fewer than three goals.

Betting Odds

  • Everton – 21/4 BetVictor
  • Draw – 16/5 Betfair
  • Liverpool – 7/11 Unibet

The Verdict

Before kick-off I suspect Liverpool will keep within touching distance of the layers pricing of a 60% chance, with Unibet coming closest at a smidgen under 1.64 in decimal betting terms. With Everton’s strong resistance at home in this fixture, are traders preparing for a sixth draw in seven games at 16/5?

Before the Manchester City game, the title odds pretty much had City at 8/13 with Liverpool at 13/8 with William Hill in the belief Klopp’s side will slip up with a handful of games left. Now with City’s result 24 hours prior the pressure then switches to the Liverpool dressing room, knowing only a victory presuming City take the points can be the only result in mind and layers have this well covered at 8/13 generally.

Getting into the minds of Toffee fans, the last victory came in 2010, which is a distant memory for a lot of fans and commentators. Liverpool have been good at punishing opposition errors and through balls make them dangerous in attack. Everton are fair in mid-air suggesting the ball needs to remain grounded if Liverpool are to frustrate their opposition.

Looking at potential plays, especially at the historic stats odd’s compilers are taking notice of the previous visits to Goodison Park with the goal line set at 2.5, with layers taking the over 2.5 with the very slight edge at 19/20.

Everton in their last hosting won a corner late into the game, and Hills punt 17/20 Everton are awarded a corner between the 76th minute and full-time whistle, which has a sporting chance for a point.

In addition, with Liverpool’s outstanding record it would be silly not to consider the Asian handicap of the visitors winning by more than one goal, which is 19/17 with BetVictor, so a one goal margin for Klopp’s men will see a cash refund. Their away record speaks for itself and the pressure will be on and think they may just edge this.

Recommended Bets

  • 1.25pts – Everton – corner between 76th minute and full time – YES 17/20 William Hill
  • 1pt – Liverpool -1 Asian Handicap – 19/17  (BetVictor) (money back if Liverpool win by 1 goal)