Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Finland vs Italy and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Euro 2020 Qualifying clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- Profit & Loss: +12.29
Finland v Italy Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 08/09/19
- Time: 19:45
- Venue: Ratina Stadion
- Channel: Sky Sport Football
1st place Italy take of 2nd place Finland in Group J on Sunday night looking to continue their 100% winning record. The Italians have been impressive during their 5 games in the group so far scoring 16 goals across 5 matches and they have only conceded 2 in that time.
Finland have also been in great form throughout the group having won 4 matches with their only defeat coming in their first match of the group against Sunday’s opponents. With home advantage the ‘Huuhkajat’ will fancy their chances of grabbing a result in this match. Finland have only lost 1 game at home since September 2017 and their record in that time at home is W9, D2, L1.
Italy have had lean periods of success of late but there are signs that they might be on the comeback to the team we used to know. They have won all 5 games so far in the group and they’re coming into this match of the back of a 3-1 victory away from home against Greece.
Potential Finland Starting XI: Hradecky, Raitala, Toivio, Arajuuri, Uronen, Lod, Sparv, Kamara, Soiri, Tumominen, Pukki
Potential Italy Starting XI: Donnarumma, Florenzi, Bonucci, Romagnoli, Emerson, Veratti, Jorginho, Barella, Chisea, Belotti, Bernardsechi
Key Stats & Facts
- All 5 of Finland’s group games have seen just one side score and produced under 2.5 goals.
- Teemu Pukki has 11 goals in his last 21 caps for Finland.
- Italy have won the last 5 H2H renewals and haven’t conceded a goal in the process.
- Finland 5/1
- Draw 11/4
- Italy 4/7
This is an intriguing game as both sides will fancy their chances of getting a victory. Finland are big outsiders at 5/1 (Bet365) but I think they’ll be much better than those odds suggest. Their recent form is encouraging and they also have a genuine goal threat in Pukki who has started the season in fine form. I think they will be able to find the back of the net in this match. Italy did concede in their last game against Armenia, so there could be some cracks in that defence. Italy have also been in fine goalscoring form and I think that 6/5 for both sides to score is good value.
Another angle I like in this match is for Italy to win and both teams to score at 3/1 (Bet365). Italy did concede in their last away game against lowly Armenia but they had the firepower to score 3 goals to take all 3 points. I think this game could work in a similar fashion and I expect Finland to use their home advantage and make it difficult for the Azzuri.
One player that I like in the goalscoring market is Andrea Belotti. The Italian has been in fine form this season and has 9 goals in his last 9 appearances for club and country this season. He also netted twice in Italy’s last game and I think he’ll get himself on the scoresheet again. Belotti is 8/5 (Bet365) to score at any time in this match.