Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Fulham v Watford and provides us with his best bets for the early Saturday kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Fulham v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 22/09/18
- Time: 12:30
- Venue: Craven Cottage
- Channel: Sky Sports Premier League
You will hear several punters moaning about how the early game seems more often than not to mess up their ACCA’s for the main 3pm programme! Best advice, place your considered accumulators separately and take our recommendation as a single bet.
Watford’s 100% start to their Premier League campaign came to an end last weekend being edged 2-1 by Manchester United and sit in fourth place with a dozen points on the board. Fulham have not found promotion back to the big league as straightforward pocketing a single win and a draw accumulating four points from the first fifteen possible.
Bookmakers give Watford a positive chance of getting something from the game, with Fulham receiving some home bias with the outlook appearing to be that odds compilers do not have a clear-cut winner on this book with opposing the shortest price when examining recent form between the two sides.
Both sides should start with their strongest sides respectively with Javi Gracia’s men looking to get back to winning ways after their narrow defeat to Manchester United last weekend and make the short trip around the M25 towards Craven Cottage.
Tom Cairney is unlikely to return, but nearing to full fitness, while Neeskens Kebano and Tim Ream remain side-lined for Fulham. Maxime Le Marchand and Joe Bryan are working hard to return to the Fulham defence and may well settle for a spot on the bench.
Gerard Deulofeu is nearing full fitness and should be involved for the short trip to Fulham on the bench. Javi Gracia should have been pleased with his sides fightback against Manchester United with a view to his side starting sharper moving forward. Lastly having named the same starting XI in every match so far, with Kiko Femenia and Nathaniel Chalobah among those hoping for a first start.
Potential Fulham Starting XI: Bettinelli, Bryan, Mawson, Odoi, Fosu-Mensah, Seri, McDonald, Anguissa, Sessegnon, Mitrovic, Schumle
Potential Watford Starting XI: Foster, Femenia, Cathcart, Kabasele, Holebas, Doucoure, Capoue, Hughes, Pereyra, Deeney, Gray
Head To Head
- Fulham 3-4 Watford with 3 draws
Key Stats & Facts
- Fulham have conceded at least two goals in their last five Premier League matches.
- Fulham’s last four games have all seen three or more goals in the match.
- Watford’s last four games have all seen three or more goals in the match.
- Watford are unbeaten in the five of the last six meetings spanning back to January 2005 in all competitions.
- Fulham – 29/20 Betfair
- Draw – 13/5 Betfair
- Watford 11/5 Blacktype
We should see a more typical Fulham performance this weekend after Fulham were comprehensively beaten at Manchester City. With stats gearing towards the over 2.5 market, layers have this covered at 8/11 generally. Looking at the draw no bet market, the prices vary from even money to nearly 5/4 on the visitors and checking the Asian handicap prices on the same market are pretty similar.
Watford had a good attitude against Manchester united and think the Watford camp on the early season have surprised some, but have taken the chances when they have done generating a surplus goal difference compared to the goal deficit from the hosts. With Fulham’s record of conceding goals, even if Watford allow the hosts more possession will pocket chances to attack and will see this game as a points generator.
I want to oppose the hosts, so consideration of the draw no bet market will at least void the bet if the Hornets can take at least a point from the game. I spotted that some bookmakers offering the Asian handicap quarter lines, such as the +0.25 is the play here especially at odds against. With some firms offering evens on Watford draw no bet, Blacktype the bookie, are offering 109/100 on Watford with a quarter goal start. This essentially means if the visitors can avoid defeat, you will yield a return. If Watford draw the game the +0.25 offers a half win as the stake is split in two halves and a full win if they are victors.