Huddersfield v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 20/01/19

Huddersfield Town v Manchester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Huddersfield Town v Manchester City and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Huddersfield Town v Manchester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 20/01/19
  • Time: 13:30
  • Venue: John Smith Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports Main Event

Caretaker boss Mark Hudson will be looking to rejuvenate his Huddersfield side as they take on title-chasers Manchester City at the John Smith Stadium on Sunday.

David Wagner, who was in charge of the Terriers since 2015 and guided the club to a miraculous promotion to the top-flight in 2017 as well as securing their survival in their first PL season, left the club after their 0-0 draw at Cardiff last weekend. Therefore, this is Hudson’s first game in charge and his task is by no means an easy one. Huddersfield currently sit at the foot of table with just 11 points, 8 points off safety.

In order to have any chance of survival, Hudson has got to get his side starting to score some goals. They have the worst scoring record in the league with just 13 goals (only 5 at home) and their two strikers in the squad, Depoitre and Mounie, have 1 league goal between them. The move to bring in Jason Puncheon until the end of the season was a smart one. The 32-year old will be an up and down runner for the Terriers and it also means that they won’t have to rely solely on Alex Pritchard to create everything, especially with Aaron Mooy still out.

I like some of the personnel within this Huddersfield squad. Defensive-midfielder Phillip Billing has proven to become a very capable midfielder at the top level. The 22-year old is very good in the air and is a very physical and dominant defender. He has also come up with the odd goal this season as well. In addition, Zanka at the heart of the defence has been important to this Huddersfield side and I also like the look of summer signing Terence Kongolo, who will look to cause Kyle Walker problems from his left-back role on Sunday.

City will be smelling blood coming into this one, coming up against a vastly inexperienced manager and are coming off the back of some clinical, prolific performances. They walked through a 3-0 win against 10-man Wolves on Monday night to once again close the gap to just 4 points at the top. They will find themselves in a similar situation this week with Liverpool taking on Crystal Palace at Anfield on Saturday before they travel to the John Smith Stadium on Sunday.

With a 9 goal lead to play with in City’s second-leg at Burton midweek, I’m expecting Guardiola to play his best 11 on Sunday. Gabriel Jesus should remain as City’s number 9 with the superb run he’s on, whilst his two most dangerous wingers in Raheem Sterling and Leroy Sane should also get the nod. This should be a good game for Sterling to discover some goal-scoring form after going scoreless in his last 5 PL games. It’ll be interesting to see whether Kevin De Bruyne will start or whether Guardiola will give him 90 minutes against Burton on Wednesday. Guardiola has been cautious with the Belgian’s return after over a month out with a ligament injury, only making the bench in City’s last two league games. It will be vital to get KDB on song before a couple of important fixtures to start February, with games against Chelsea and Arsenal.

Team News 

Aaron Mooy remains side-lined for the home side with the knee injury he picked up against Arsenal back in December. The Terriers are also without Tom Smith (hamstring), Danny Williams (knee) and Abdelhamid Sabiri (collarbone) for Sunday’s game.

Vincent Kompany is the only fresh injury concern for Pep Guardiola, the Belgian’s a doubt for this fixture. Claudio Bravo and Benjamin Mendy remain long-term absentees. However, the left-back underwent successful knee surgery and is expected to return to the squad in the coming weeks.

Potential Huddersfield Starting XI: Lossl, Hadergjonaj, Zanka, Schindler, Kongolo, Hogg, Billing, Kachunga, Puncheon, Pritchard, Mounie.

Potential Man City Starting XI: Ederson, Walker, Stones, Laporte, Delph, Fernandinho, De Bruyne, D.Silva, Sterling, Jesus, Sane.

Head To Head

  • All time: Huddersfield-22, Draw-30, Man City-27.
  • 3 PL meetings- Man City-2, Draw-1.
  • Reverse fixture back in August ended 6-1 to Man City.

Key Stats & Facts

  • This is caretaker boss Mark Hudson’s first game in charge at Huddersfield.
  • Huddersfield have the lowest xG in the PL at 15.09, Man City have the highest at 54.87- that’s a 39.78 difference.
  • Away from home, Man City’s xG dramatically declines compared to at the Etihad- 20.49 (away), 34.38 (home).
  • Huddersfield have scored 5 league goals at home, 13 total.
  • Zanka (centre-back) is their top scorer in the PL with 3.
  • Despite starting 22 games between them, Huddersfield’s two strikers; Laurent Depoitre and Steve Mounie have combined for 1 goal and 4 assists.
  • The home side haven’t won since their 2-0 away win at Wolves, that’s 9 PL games. In fact, that game at Molineux was the only time Huddersfield have scored 2 goals in a league game this season.
  • Gabriel Jesus has 7 goals in his last 3 appearances (all comps).
  • Since their Boxing Day defeat at Leicester, City have won all 5 games, scoring 24 in the process.
  • Sergio Aguero netted a hat-trick the last time these two sides met back in August.

Betting Odds

  • Huddersfield 20/1
  • Draw 7/1
  • Man City 1/6

The Verdict

This has the makings of a really tough debut game for Mark Hudson with City certainly rediscovering their form after a slump to end 2018.

I see a City romping here with the goal scoring form their in- 8 in last 3 PL games, 24 in last 5 (all comps). I’m backing City to win with a -2.5 handicap.

They’ve won by 3 or more on 7 occasions this season, including the 6-1 win against Huddersfield at the Etihad. I don’t see this Huddersfield side causing City many problems even with the lift they might get from a new manager. They’ve scored 5 goals in 11 games at the John Smith Stadium this season and are winless since Aaron Mooy has been out. It will be a case of how many City can get.

I also like the look of City to lead after 15 mins at 13/5. City have scored the most goals in the first 15 minutes compared to any other 15 minute interval (15-30, 30-45, etc). They’ve scored in the opening 15 minutes in 11/22 games which a pretty impressive record and have led after 15 minutes in their last 3 meetings. You can play it safer and back City to lead after 30 mins which is at 21/20.

Recommended Bets

  • Man City -2.5 handicap –  16/13 (BetVictor)
  • Man City to lead after 15 minutes- 13/5 (Ladbrokes)