Krasnodar v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 14/02/19
Sam Langston (@Samlan98) previews Krasnodar v Bayer Leverkusen and provides us with his best bets for Thursday’s Europa League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +2.83pts
Krasnodar v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 14/02/2019
- Time: 17:55
- Venue: Krasnodar Stadium
- Channel: BT Sport 2 (via Red Button)
There’s a tendency for first leg fixtures in the knockout stages of European competitions to be cagey affairs, with teams trying to remain in the tie for as long as possible. However, when Krasnodar lock horns with Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League Round of 32 on Thursday, we have two sides who play attacking and expansive brands of football, so an eventful encounter should ensue.
Despite earning plenty of plaudits for the way they try to play the game, Krasnodar’s current crop have never quite lived up to their full potential, until now. Finally, The Bulls, who have been on the periphery of a Russian Premier League triumph for some time, are mounting a concrete title challenge this term, and are also proving to be capable operators in Europe.
Impressively, Murad Musayev’s men won each of their three Europa League home games in the groups, with the notable result being a 2-1 victory over Spanish giants Sevilla in Gameweek 2. All these matches saw Over 2.5 Goals bank and I’m expecting this to continue in the latter rounds of the competition.
As alluded to, Krasnodar are renowned in Russia for their attractive and free-flowing style and are bucking the trend in what tends to be a pretty dull domestic division. League games involving the hosts are seeing a plentiful 2.59 goals, in a division where fixtures are producing just 2.13 on average, and, as aforementioned, this theme has translated into their European campaign.
On Thursday, the hosts will have no qualms going toe-to-toe with Bayer and this should lead to an open contest, which is likely to play into the Germans’ hands. With the likes of Julian Brandt, Kai Havertz, Leon Bailey, Karim Bellarabi, and Kevin Volland in their ranks, youthful Leverkusen posses one of the most potent attacks on the continent, and they’re bang-in form heading into this bout.
Despite Die Werkself’s inconsistency throughout the first half of the season, I was relatively surprised to see Heiko Herrlich relieved of his managerial duties before the Christmas break. To then replace him with Peter Bosz, who had a nightmare time at Dortmund last term, was certainly a gamble, but to be fair to the ex-Ajax gaffer, he’s gone in and got the guests playing straight away.
Since Bosz’s arrival, Leverkusen have claimed emphatic victories versus Europe-chasing Wolfsburg (3-0), Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich (3-1), and most recently, a thumping win away from home against a tough-to-beat Mainz outfit (5-1). Still though, you never quite know what you’re going to get with the entertaining visitors, as they also lost 2-1 to 2.Bundesliga side Heidenheim at the beginning of the Bosz era to be dumped out of the DFB-Pokal.
Over the winter break, Krasnodar secured the signing of 23 year-old Swedish starlet Kristoffer Olsson, one of the Allsvenskan’s top performers last season. With Yury Gazinsky suspended for Thursday’s clash, the ex-AIK midfielder is in line make his debut. Cristian Ramírez is also ineligible for the hosts.
Lars Bender is the main absentee for Leverkusen, who are expected to be at near full strength here.
Potential Krasnodar Starting XI: Kritsyuk, Stotskiy, Spajić, Martynovich, Petrov, Kaboré, Pereyra, Olsson, Claesson, Wanderson, Ari.
Potential Bayer Leverkusen Starting XI: Hrádecký, Wendell, S. Bender, Tah, Weiser, Aránguiz, Brandt, Havertz, Bailey, Bellarabi, Volland.
Head To Head
- These clubs have never met before.
Key Stats & Facts
- All six of the sides’ respective home and away games in the group stages produced Over 2.5 Goals.
- Krasnodar – 27/10
- Draw – 14/5
- Bayer Leverkusen – 107/100
We should be in for a thrilling spectacle at the Krasnodar Stadium, with chances for goals at both ends of the pitch.
Despite being in superb form since the arrival of Peter Bosz, Leverkusen have remained susceptible to the counter, only managing a single clean sheet in six. Their four Bundesliga fixtures over this period have produced a substantial xG average of 3.55 per-game and I expect this to continue here, with both sides employing offensive approaches.
This forward-thinking Krasnodar side have the ability to cause the vulnerable visitors a few problems and are certainly capable of getting on the scoresheet. Wide men Viktor Claesson and Wanderson are the key individuals to watch out for them.