Leeds v Derby Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 11/01/19

Leeds United v Derby County Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

TPP debutante and EFL specialist Rajan Hothi (@RajanHothi_) previews Leeds United v Derby County and provides us with his best bets for Friday nights promotion clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Leeds United v Derby County Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 11/01/19
  • Time: 19:45
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Channel: Sky Sports football

Leeds will be desperate to return to winning ways after suffering three defeats on the trot in all competitions. Defeats to Hull City and Nottingham Forest in the league as well as an FA Cup loss away to QPR has left Leeds fans once again fearing a New Year capitulation.

Despite the recent dip in form, Marcelo Biesla’s side still sit top of the Championship, two points ahead of second place Norwich City – who have also had a recent blip with the Canaries winless in their last four. Biesla and co will keen to maintain their strong home form which has only seen them lose twice at Elland Road this season.

Opponents Derby are also in the promotion hunt with the Rams currently occupying the final play-off spot. Frank Lampard’s side impressively pegged back Southampton in the FA Cup on Saturday forcing a 2-2 draw and a replay at St Mary’s.

Derby have one of the better away records in the league boasting 20 points from a possible 39 and they demonstrated how good they are on the road by recently beating high-flyers Norwich away 4-3 in a seven-goal thriller. However, this is Derby’s only win in their last six.

When these two faced off in August, Leeds ran riot emerging 4-1 winners with goals from Mateusz Klich, Ezgjan Alioski and a brace from Kemar Roofe ensuring a comfortable win at Pride Park.

Team News

Liam Cooper should return to the starting eleven for Leeds after recently playing an under-23’s game. Cooper’s return will be a relief to Leeds who will be without Kalvin Phillips. The 23-year-old is currently serving a suspension after being sent off against Nottingham Forest and is also the latest Leeds defender to pick up an injury. With Barry Douglas described by Biesla as being out for “a while”, Alioski will likely have to fill in at left-back.

Jayden Bogle may be demoted to the bench following some sub-par performances for the Rams in recent weeks. Andre Wisdom and Max Lowe are likely to be the starting full-backs on Friday.

Potential Leeds United Starting XI: Peacock-Farrell, Alioski, Jansson, Cooper, Ayling, Forshaw, Clarke, Klich, Hernández, Harrison, Roofe

Potential Derby County Starting XI: Carson, Wisdom, Tomori, Keogh, Lowe, Evans, Mount, Wilson, Lawrence, Marriott, Holmes

Head To Head

  • Overall record: Leeds 55, Derby 37, Draw 28
  • Derby won this fixture at Elland Road last season coming from behind to win 2-1.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Leeds boast the best home record in the Championship, winning 8 of their 13 games at Elland Road so far this season.
  • Derby have the seventh best away record in the league and have won two of their last three away matches.
  • The last time there was a goalless draw between these two was in 2006, since then they have met 20 times.
  • Leeds have only conceded ten goals at home this season, the second fewest in the division.

Betting Odds

  • Leeds United 7/8
  • Draw 37/13
  • Derby County 7/2

The Verdict

Despite Leeds being poor in recent weeks, there is no doubt that they have the quality to get back on track. They have one of the league’s top goalscorers in Kemar Roofe who will be looking to add to his tally of 13.

However, Derby themselves are a very strong outfit and under Lampard will also be eyeing up a promotion back to the Premier League. While they’re a good side that possesses a lot of quality, Leeds’ solid home form should see them over the line.

Also, expect goals in this encounter with Leeds and Derby both boasting fairly good goal scoring records. Between them, this season both sides have netted a combined 82 goals demonstrating how attacking both teams like to play.

Biesla and Lampard’s attacking philosophies can lead to their defences being exposed and we can see this more with Derby, as the Rams have conceded the second most amount of goals in the top six.

However, with Derby having the third best goalscoring record away from home, what they may lack in defence they more than make up for in attack.

Recommended Bets

  • Leeds win – 5/6 (Smarkets)
  • Both teams to score – 4/6 (William Hill)