Leicester v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 12/04/19
Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Leicester v Newcastle and provides us with his best bets for Friday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +13.75pts
Leicester v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 12/04/2019
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: The King Power Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Leicester generally will feel they have had a very mediocre season, however they do still sit in 7th place in the table. This shows how far the club have come in recent years which obviously peaked with them winning the title, and although everyone knew they had no chance of repeating the success consistent top half finishes are what the club is aiming for. Since Rogers has took over the club they have only lost 1 game, and won the following 4. It’s only right to say they haven’t played any of the top clubs in this spell but to get a consistent run of 4 wins on the bounce is the type of form Leicester were hoping for from Brendan Rodgers’ appointment.
Newcastle however are in a very different position. They currently sit in 15th place, 7 points clear of the drop zone. With Fulham and Huddersfield already relegated there is only one place left to play for, therefore the odds are with Newcastle to avoid the drop. Rafa’s days at Newcastle may be numbered, although the Newcastle faithful admire him to the ends of the earth, unless Mike Ashley gets his chequebook out in summer it’s unlikely he will stay and endure another season like this.
The Foxes haven’t got a great deal to play for, besides making sure they finish as high as possible. They sit 5 points clear of West Ham who are in 11th place, so with 5 games left its unlikely West Ham will close the gap to take Leicester into the bottom half. Leicester’s upturn in performance could be attributed to youngster Harvey Barnes return following a cut-short loan spell at the Baggies. On top of this Leicester also brought in youngster Yuri Tielemans on loan from Monaco who has impressed and is likely to make that move permanent in summer in what would be a fantastic deal for the 21 year old. Newcastle have had impressive breakthroughs of their own, with young Sean Longstaff becoming a key backbone to the squad before his unfortunate season ending injury.
Leicester’s only absentees are Amartey and Albrighton. Amartey has been out for the majority of the season but it hopeful to return before the end of the campaign. Albrighton has joined back up with the squad but is short on match fitness so would be unlikely to get any more than a spectator’s role here.
Newcastle have had a few major injuries in the last few weeks with Lejeune and Longstaff being rules out for the rest of the season, and likely the start of next season. Diame is also a possible absentee and is likely to have a late fitness check before the game.
Potential Leicester Starting XI: Schmeichel, Chilwell, Maguire, Morgan, Pereira, Ndidi, Barnes, Maddison, Tielemans, Gray, Vardy
Potential Newcastle Starting XI: Dubravka, Yedlin, Schar, Lascelles, Dummett, Perez, Hayden, Shelvey, Almiron, Ritchie, Rondon
Head To Head
- The reverse fixture ended in a 2-0 win for Leicester at St James Park.
- Over the last 10 years Leicester have had the better of Newcastle, with 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses.
- Historically Leicester total against Newcastle is W52 D27 L44.
Key Stats & Facts
- 4 of the last 5 meetings between the pair have actually been won by the away side on the day.
- The last 5 games have produced 14 goals, an average of 2.8 per game.
- Leicester have scored the first and last goal in their last 4 games.
- Leicester 5/7
- Draw 14/5
- Newcastle 9/2
I think this game is probably priced up right. Leicester deserve to be odds on given recent form, but not too short as Newcastle can be a resilient side when they want to be. One bet I am keen on is Vardy to score anytime. Leicester’s front man has 8 goals in his last 10 appearances and has 3 in his last two matches after a brace last time out against Huddersfield. We can get 6/5 on Bet365 for this and I think this is a good price given the scenario, and Newcastle will have to adjust their backline with Lejeune’s absence.
My second play is again backing the home side. 5/7 is too short of a price but we can get just shy of 2/1 for the home side to win to nil. This looks a great play given 3 of the last 5 games between the two have resulted with leicester winning to nil. On top of this Newcastle have also failed to find the net in 3 of their last 5 games.