Man City v Rotherham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 06/01/19
James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Man City v Rotherham and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s F.A Cup clash] by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Man City v Rotherham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 06/01/19
- Time: 14:00
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
- Channel: N/A
Man City will be looking to avoid a major banana skin as they take on Championship strugglers Rotherham in the FA Cup 3rd Round on Sunday.
The home side are coming off the back of their most important win of the season, defeating PL leaders Liverpool 2-1 thanks to goals from Sergio Aguero and Leroy Sane. The win lifted City back into 2nd and essentially kept the title race alive for the Sky Blues, now only 4pts off the top.
There’s no doubt Guardiola will rotate for this one after the high-intensity game on Thursday as well as the fact that they have the 1st leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final against Burton on Wednesday.
Rotherham are struggling in the Championship after gaining promotion from League 1 last season. They currently sit in 21st but are in and around a number of teams down the bottom of the table. Paul Warne’s side were also able to pick up a huge 3 points against fellow strugglers Preston on New Year’s Day.
Central Midfielder Will Vaulks has been impressive for the Millers this season, picking up 5 goals and 3 assists in the league this season. He’s the away side’s highest rated player (according to whoscored.com) with a 7.3. He along with forward Michael Smith are the club’s top scorers this season.
Rotherham also hold the worst away record in the Championship so far this season. They are winless on the road and have picked up just 4 draws in 13 away games, scoring 8 in the process and conceding 24. They now have to travel to a side that only lost twice at the Etihad in the league in 2018 and have scored 37 goals in 11 home games in the PL this season.
Fabian Delph completes the last of his 3-game suspension on Sunday as is therefore unavailable. Kevin De Bruyne may start after not featuring in City’s last two games whilst Aro Muric and Phil Foden should also get starts.
Billy Jones, Clark Robertson and Zak Vyner are all doubts for the away side and Richie Towell is suspended.
Potential Man City Starting XI: Muric, Walker, Garcia, Otamendi, Zinchenko, Gundogan, De Bruyne, D.Silva, Mahrez, Jesus, Foden.
Potential Rotherham Starting XI: Rodak, Vyner, Raggett, Wood, Mattock, Taylor, Vaulks, Manning, Williams, Wiles, Smith.
Head To Head
- Manchester City have been drawn against Rotherham for just the second time in the FA Cup, beating them in a third-round replay in 1978-79 the other time.
- The last time Manchester City faced Rotherham came in the second tier of English football back in March 2002 – a 1-1 draw.
Key Stats & Facts
- Man City’s home and away form varies dramatically in terms of scoring- 37 in 11 home PL games, 19 in 10 away games.
- Manchester City have won just three of their last seven FA Cup games against sides from a lower division (drawn one, lost three) with two of those defeats coming against Wigan.
- Rotherham have lost each of their last five FA Cup games, conceding two or more goals in each of those matches (14 in total).
- Rotherham’s last win in the competition came back in the 2013-14 season (3-0 v Bradford).
- Man City 1/14
- Draw 16/1
- Rotherham 66/1
I see nothing but a comfortable City win here. They have a very good record at home and are coming up against a Rotherham side that hasn’t won on the road in the Championship this season and only averages 0.6 goals in away games so far.
Guardiola will rotate but the starting 11 will be still very strong with the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Gabriel Jesus and Kyle Walker all tipped for starts. De Bruyne has only played 196 league minutes for City this season but I’m backing him to score in a game where he will likely play 90 minutes against the joint 5th worst Championship defence this season.
I’m also going to back City to lead after 15 mins. On average, they score in the first 15 minutes once in every two games and I think the 15/8 odds look too tempting to turn this one down.