Man Utd v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 11/08/19

Man Utd v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamescormack_) previews Manchester United v Chelsea and provides us with his best bets for the second instalment of the opening Super Sunday of the new Premier League season by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +8.77pts

Manchester United v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 11/08/19
  • Time: 16:30
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Liverpool kick-started the 2019/20 Premier League season with a 4-1 over the newly promoted Norwich, who certainly didn’t abandon the philosophy that helped them win the Championship last season. Nevertheless, the game of the weekend (on paper) comes from Old Trafford as Frank Lampard takes charge of his first competitive games as Chelsea boss against Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s Man United.

Despite losing Eden Hazard and being forced to watch their top six rivals spend millions upon millions this summer, I’m sure many Chelsea fans are excited for the upcoming season.

The transfer ban will almost force Lampard to trust some of Chelsea’s fine academy products this season and on the whole, the ban may be a blessing in disguise for Chelsea.

The likes of Mason Mount, Reece James, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Tammy Abraham; all prospects from the Chelsea academy, could make up the core of Lampard’s Chelsea for the next few seasons.

It’ll be interesting to see how Lampard sets up his Chelsea side for the upcoming campaign. At Derby he preferred the 4-2-3-1 and I think this is a system will be accustomed to seeing at Stamford Bridge this season. It will allow N’Golo Kante, who played in a more advanced role in Sarri’s 4-3-3 last season, to play in a double pivot with either Jorginho or Mateo Kovacic whilst Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Ross Barkley will rotate in the no.10 role. What will be interesting to see is whether Lampard opts to start the experienced Olivier Giroud or 21-year-old Tammy Abraham, who’s unproven in the top-flight.

Despite adding Harry Maguire and Aaron Wan-Bissaka to their defence, I don’t think there’s any doubt that United fans will be disappointed with their transfer window, one that promised so much.

With Romelu Lukaku gone, a lot of pressure will be on Anthony Martial and Marcus Rashford to get the goals this season. I would like to see OGS use a 4-2-3-1 as well this season so we can see Paul Pogba play in a more advanced no.10 role. Last season, I remember two games vividly; Leicester away and Bournemouth at home, where Pogba excelled playing as the no.10. If you play McTominay and Fred in a double pivot behind Pogba, then I think you’ve got more balance than if you play Pogba in a midfield three.

Anthony Martial getting the no.9 shirt this season could be a statement of intent. Could we see Martial lead the line for United, something we saw him do in pre-season and Marcus Rashford possibly playing out wide, or will they play as a two up top, possibly in a 4-3-1-2.

Team News 

Summer signings; Harry Maguire, Daniel James and Aaron Wan-Bissaka are in contention for starts on Sunday.

Paul Pogba, who has been suffering with a back injury, is also likely to start despite the rumours surrounding his future at the club. However, Alexis Sanchez isn’t expected to start due to his involvement in the Copa America whilst Eric Bailly is out with a long-term injury.

Frank Lampard may be without N’Golo Kante for the trip to Old Trafford. The Frenchman is a doubt with a knee injury he sustained in pre-season. Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Antonio Rudiger and Callum Hudson-Odoi are all out.

Potential Man United Starting XI: De Gea, Wan-Bissaka, Maguire, Lindelof, Shaw, McTominay, Pogba, Fred, Martial, Rashford, James.

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Kepa, Azpilicueta, Zouma, Christensen, Emerson, Jorginho, Kovacic, Willian, Barkley, Pulisic, Abraham.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Man United-78, Draw-51, Chelsea-54.
  • Chelsea haven’t beaten United at Old Trafford since May 2013.
  • Cheslea have won just one of the last five meetings between the two sides (all comps).

Key Stats & Facts

  • This will be the first opening-day meeting between Manchester United and Chelsea since Jose Mourinho won his first Premier League match with the Blues.
  • Manchester United failed to win any of their final five games last season, losing three and drawing two.
  • The Red Devils have lost just one of the last 26 matches when opening a top-flight campaign at home (W19, D6).
  • The last Chelsea manager to lose his first Premier League match in charge was Avram Grant, a 2-0 defeat at Manchester United in September 2007.
  • Frank Lampard won on just one of his nine Premier League appearances as a player against Ole Gunnar Solskjaer (D3, L5), and was outscored 4-1 by the Norwegian.
  • Chelsea have never been defeated when opening a Premier League season on a Sunday (W8, D3).

Betting Odds

  • Manchester United 5/4
  • Draw 61/25
  • Chelsea 27/10

The Verdict

This has the makings of a fascinating battle between two sides that will be looking to get into the top four this season. United’s home advantage makes them the favourites with the bookies, but, I think this game will end in a draw. I think Chelsea will exceed expectations this season, starting with a good result on Sunday. With Hazard gone, I’m expecting Willian to have a big season whilst Ross Barkley’s pre-season form will give the Chelsea faithful hope that he can perform on a regular basis. Injuries to Loftus-Cheek and Hudson-Odoi are blows but I still think they match-up well with this Manchester United side, especially if N’Golo Kante is declared fit.

Despite Maguire and Wan-Bissaka undoubtedly improving United’s backline, I fear they don’t have enough going forward. Other than Paul Pogba, who will display his true talent for about 2 months of the season, United lack a real playmaker and I think we’ll see quite a direct style at Old Trafford this season, utilizing the pace of Martial, James and Rashford. As it’s the first game it’s a difficult game to call, but, looking at the potential starting XI’s, I can’t really separate the two sides and I think a draw is likely.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Draw – 61/25 (Marathon Bet)