Man Utd v Derby Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 25th September
Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Manchester United vs Derby County and provides us with his best bets for Tuesday’s EFL cup clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.
Manchester United vs Derby County betting preview, odds and tips
- Date: 25/09/18
- Time: 20:00pm
- Venue: Old Trafford
- Channel: SkySports Football
Under rookie boss Frank Lampard, Derby County have started the Championship campaign in fine fettle. The Rams lie 6th in the table but only two points behind leaders Leeds United. County fans have an exciting young trio going forward with Harry Wilson, Tom Lawrence and Mason Mount. All three players have strong international pedigree at youth level and are linking well this season, they can be devastating on the break.
It’s easy to have confidence in their young squad, especially as successful ex-Chelsea youth team coach Jody Morris is part of the set-up at Pride Park. In addition to the aforementioned trio, Rams have full backs Max Lowe and Jayden Bogle who’ve settled into the first team seamlessly, as has Fikayo Tomori at centre half. They’ve also received an increased output from Mason Bennett.
Man United seemed to have found their groove after a seriously shaky start to the season, that been said, the red devils had a slight hiccup drawing with Wolves at the weekend. It’s likely that Mourinho will rotate here, especially with champions league commitments. It could allow for some fringe players such as Ander Herrera, Juan Mata, Diogo Dalot and Andreas Pereira to show their worth.
They’ve failed to seriously impress this season and don’t look like they’ll be in the title run-in, success in these cup competitions could be key for Mourinho if he wants to stick around at Old Trafford. I’m not sure he will have it all his own way here though and he could have to turn to his main men off the bench should it be a more equal affair than the bookies expect.
Former Derby goalkeeper Lee Grant could come in to make his debut for the hosts, it will be between him and Sergio Romero. Marcus Rashford is likely to slot in after missing Saturday’s game due to suspension.
Derby could also make changes, Martyn Waghorn could come in for David Nugent up front, Andre Wisdom could also get a start at the back.
Potential Man United XI: Romero, Dalot, Bailly, Jones, Young, McTominay, Matic, Pereira, Mata, Rashford, Martial.
Potential Derby County XI: Carson, Wisdom, Keogh, Tomori, Malone, Bryson, Huddlestone, Mount, Wilson, Jozefzoon, Waghorn.
Head To Head
- It’s no surprise to see Man United having the upper hand in the H2H, they’ve won 39 of 85 meetings. Derby have won 23 of them and the same number of games ended all square.
Stats & Facts
- Derby did beat United in the first leg of their semi-final in 2009 courtesy of a Kris Commons strike.
- You have to go back to January of this year for the first time United won a game by 3 or more goals at Old Trafford, a 3-0 win against Stoke.
- Man United – 1/4
- Draw – 59/10
- Derby – 16/1
Man United look too short in the betting and with a possible 11 changes to the first team they may not have the rhythm to get at Derby from the off. Derby do have some dangerous players and with United’s defence problems still not fully resolved (conceding in all three home games this season) I fancy the visitors to get on the scoresheet.
Both teams to score has been chalked up at 5/4 and that looks a bit too big. Derby’s youngsters will see this as a great stage to showcase their talent to a wider audience and they’ll give it a go.
The hosts rarely blow teams away and that makes Derby with a 2 goal start on the asian handicap an attractive proposition. This would’ve paid out in all United’s home games this season. We get a full payout should Derby win, draw or lose by a single goal. We also get an added layer of insurance with stakes returned should Mourinho’s men win by two clear goals. The only way we make a loss is if United win by 3 or more goals.