Man Utd v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 20/10/19

Man Utd v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamescormack_) previews Manchester United v Liverpool and provides us with his best bets for this pivotal Super Sunday clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +13.05pts

Manchester United v Liverpool Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 20/10/19
  • Time: 16:30
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and his Manchester United side host Jurgen Klopp’s high-flying Liverpool on Sunday, knowing that a victory could turn the Red Devils’ season on its head.

Despite picking up impressive victories over Chelsea and Leicester already this season – wins that displayed both United’s attacking and defensive capabilities – they currently sit 12th in the Premier League table and without a win since the victory over the Foxes a month ago.

On the contrary, Liverpool have started the season flawlessly – winning all of their eight Premier League games thus far.

In their two most recent games, this Liverpool side have found ways to win. Against Sheffield United at Bramall Lane, the Reds were shut out for large periods but were able to snatch all three points thanks to an out-of-character Dean Henderson error. Last time out, they overcame strong starters Leicester thanks to a soft stoppage-time penalty after James Maddison had equalised ten minutes from time.

Signs of champions.

Now, Jurgen Klopp will be looking to take advantage of a poor United side that will be without David de Gea, Paul Pogba and potentially Anthony Martial.

In their defeat to Newcastle last time out, we saw a United void of any attacking ideas, with midfielders failing to break Newcastle’s lines and Juan Mata – the number ten – a shadow of his once brilliant self.

Instead, it was Harry Maguire who looked like United’s greatest attacking threat – that’s right a centre-back. Maguire was able to progress the ball like no other United player, especially in the first half, and also spurned their best chance of the game – a free header from a corner.

Key injuries have, of course, disrupted them this season, but let’s get this straight, this is undoubtedly the worst United side of the Premier League era and ultimately, the top-four seems a long way away at the moment.

However, a result against the early table-toppers on Sunday will instil some much-needed confidence within this United dressing room and you never know, they might be able to turn it around.

Team News        

United will be without Paul Pogba and David de Gea for this one, with the latter suffering a groin injury on international duty. However, it’s believed the injury isn’t as bad as first feared.

Solskjaer will be hoping that Aaron Wan-Bissaka will be able to return on Sunday after recovering from tonsillitis, whilst Anthony Martial and Jesse Lingard are back in contention. Luke Shaw is unlikely to return.

After missing seven and a half games, Alisson returned to first-team training last week after recovering from a calf issue.

Mo Salah, who came off in the latter stages of their win against Leicester, needs to be assessed along with Joel Matip, who missed both the Leicester and Salzburg games before the break.

Potential Manchester Utd Starting XI: Romero; Wan-Bissaka, Tuanzebe, Maguire, Young; Matic, McTominay, Pereira; Rashford, Martial, James.

Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Adrian; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, van Dijk, Robertson; Fabinho, Wijnaldum, Henderson; Salah, Firmino, Mane.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Man Utd-88, Draw-66, Liverpool-76.
  • United have won just one of the previous seven meetings in all comps – a 2-1 win at Old Trafford back in March 2018.
  • The Reds haven’t beaten United at Old Trafford since their 3-0 win in 2014.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Liverpool have maintained their 100% record through eight PL games so far, scoring 20 and conceding six in the process.
  • The home side have scored just five times since the opening weekend of the season.
  • Despite their poor scoring record, United have the fifth-highest xG in the league (12.14).
  • Liverpool’s xG of 17.43 is second to only Manchester City.
  • Whilst they’ve struggled going forward, their defence has been impressive. Their expected goals against is 6.14 – the lowest in the division.

Betting Odds

  • Manchester Utd 74/17
  • Draw 3/1
  • Liverpool 4/5

The Verdict

You’d expect Liverpool to win this one comfortably with the number of injuries United have, but I’m not so sure. Last season we saw an injury-ridden United side hold the Reds to a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford and it wouldn’t be surprising to see something similar play out on Sunday.

I think this will be a tight contest and with both sides boasting impressive defensive records, we could be in for a low-scorer. Under 2.5 goals appeals to me.

My other bet is a longshot, but it’s worth a go. As I’ve mentioned, United were able to shut-out the Reds at the Theatre of Dreams last season and it’s not crazy to assume that we could see something similar this weekend. Despite their struggles going forward, United have looked stout defensively, conceding just eight times this season. Harry Maguire has settled in nicely and made an immediate impact, whilst Aaron Wan-Bissaka, if fit, adds greater defensive solidity. The key battle will be down Liverpool’s right with Ashley Young going up against Mo Salah, if Young is able to get the better of the Egyptian then there’s no reason why the Red Devils can’t keep another clean sheet against the Reds. The only problem is, with their lack of creativity in midfield and injury issues up top, I don’t see them scoring either.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Under 2.5 goals – 53/50 (Marathon Bet)
  • 0.5pts – Correct Score: 0-0 – 12/1 (Sky Bet)
  • 1pt – Liverpool clean sheet – 6/4 (Bet365)