Norwich v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 24/08/19

Norwich v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamescormack_) previews Norwich City v Chelsea and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s lunchtime clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -0.23pts

Norwich City v Chelsea Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 24/08/19
  • Time: 12:30
  • Venue: Carrow Road
  • Channel: BT Sport

Daniel Farke and his exciting Norwich side will be looking to build on an impressive win against Newcastle last week as they take on Chelsea, who are searching for their first Premier League win under Frank Lampard.

Farke hasn’t shied away from his fluent, expansive football that was so successful in the Championship; however, the issues with the Canaries style were fully exploited in the first-half at Anfield on the opening night of the season.

Teemu Pukki was the hero at Carrow Road in game week two, netting his first Premier League hat-trick and continuing his form from England’s second-tier last season, the Finnish star scoring 29 goals in 43 games. Although they may be reliant on Pukki to get their goals in the top-flight, this Norwich side is very talented. Their full-backs; Jamal Lewis and Max Aarons, are destined for great things whilst Ben Godfrey at centre-half looks to be a player at 21. Ex-Dortmund man Moritz Leitner is expected to ‘light-up’ the Premier League whilst the likes of Emiliano Buendia and Todd Cantwell have impressed in Norwich’s two games this season.

I would like to see this Norwich side stay in the top-flight over the next few seasons so we can see this group of young and exciting talent excel as a unit in the Premier League. With Aarons (19), Godfrey (21), Lewis (21), Cantwell (21) and Buendia (22), we could see Norwich become a very competitive Premier League side in years to come. However, the chances of the Canaries keeping this core of players is highly unlikely. Also, it’ll be interesting to see whether the Norwich hierarchy will regret not being more active in the transfer market come the end of the season, spending just £3.75m in the summer window.

There’s no doubt that this Norwich outfit will be another tricky test for Frank Lampard’s Chelsea on Saturday.

After their electric start at the Bridge against Leicester last Sunday, the Chelsea faithful would’ve hoped that the Blues went on to secure Lampard’s first competitive win as Chelsea boss. However, Wilfred Ndidi atoned for his earlier error that led to Mason Mount’s goal by scoring a fine header from a James Maddison corner and in the end, Leicester looked more likely to go on and win the game.

I’ve been impressed with how Chelsea look going forward with relatively little resources. Abraham and Giroud have yet to really find their feet this season whilst Willian missed the game at Old Trafford and was woeful when he came on last week. The likes of Mount, who is fantastic out of possession, the tenacious Pedro and Christian Pulisic have looked good so far under Lampard whilst Jorginho looks to be playing with a little more freedom now he doesn’t have the burden of being the ‘regista’.

Questions will certainly have been raised about Chelsea’s second-half performances. They conceded three in the second 45 at Old Trafford and pretty much fizzled out against Leicester after a fantastic start.

They’ll have to be wary of the threat that Daniel Farke’s side brings and in summary, I think we could be on for a very entertaining contest at Carrow Road at Saturday lunchtime.

Team News        

The home side were dealt a blow in the week with the news that Onel Hernandez will face a lengthy spell on the sidelines with a meniscus tear.

Christoph Zimmerman remains out whilst Timm Klose is progressing in his recovery from a knee injury but is still a doubt.

Antonio Rudiger is set to return to the matchday squad after missing Chelsea’s poor start to the season. The German international will be a massive boost for the Blues, but it’s unlikely that he’ll start at Carrow Road on Saturday.

Callum Hudson-Odoi nears a return to full fitness whilst Ruben Loftus-Cheek remains out.

Potential Norwich Starting XI: Krul, Aarons, Godfrey, Hanley, Lewis, Trybull, Leitner, Cantwell, Stiepermann, Buendia, Pukki

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Kepa, Azpiliceuta, Zouma, Christensen, Emerson, Jorginho, Kante, Pedro, Mount, Pulisic, Abraham

Head To Head

  • All-time: Norwich-14, Draw-18, Chelsea-22.
  • Norwich haven’t beaten Chelsea since 1994, losing 12 and drawing 4 since then (all comps).

Key Stats & Facts

  • Only Man City (34) have created more than Chelsea’s 23 chances from open play, but centre forwards Tammy Abraham and Olivier Giroud have mustered just a single shot on target between them.
  • Mason Mount scored his first Premier League goal in just his second start last weekend against Leicester.
  • After his hat-trick against Newcastle last Saturday, Teemu Pukki is leading the goalscoring charts early on.
  • Four of the five goals that Chelsea have conceded this season have been in the second half.
  • Despite winning the Championship last season, Norwich conceded 57 goals in the process, the 9th worst record.
  • Daniel Farke is the first Norwich manager to win his opening home Premier League game in charge of the Canaries since Mike Walker in August 1992 – prior to last week, each of the last seven managers had lost their first home game in charge of Norwich in the competition.

Betting Odds

  • Norwich 17/5
  • Draw 3/1
  • Chelsea 17/20

The Verdict

Despite their underwhelming start, the Blues are odds-on favourites here at 17/20. This is a tough one to call as I’ve liked what I’ve seen from both these sides going forward, but with Chelsea’s defensive personnel and Norwich’s fearless style, I’m unsure of both at the other end of the pitch. What this combination tells me is goals, and at least of few of them on Saturday. So, instead of looking at the outright market, I’m going to back this game having over 3.5 goals. Teemu Pukki is still Teemu Pukki whilst Chelsea love creating chances, I think we’re in for a good one in Norwich on Saturday.

Another bet I like the look of is both teams scoring in the first half. In their opening two games, Chelsea have looked more than bright in the opening 45, especially against Leicester. In both games they could have been 2 up by half-time, so for this one, I’m hoping that they can convert at least one of the first half chances they create. As for Norwich, they’ll be confident after their convincing 3-1 win over the Magpies, Farke’s style makes them a persistent threat going forward and in Teemu Pukki, they have a fantastic goal-scorer. He’ll be itching to get on the scoresheet again and I think they’ll get one early on with the confidence they’ll have and the fact that Chelsea have looked far from secure defensively.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Over 3.5 goals – 29/20 (Betfair)
  • 1pt – BTTS in the first half – 3/1 (William Hill)