Norwich v Ipswich Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/02/19

Norwich v Ipswich Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Norwich vs Ipswich and provides us with his best bets for Sunday Lunchtime’s televised clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.

Norwich v Ipswich Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/02/19
  • Time: 12:00pm
  • Venue: Carrow Road
  • Channel: SkySports Football

Sunday Lunchtime sees the always tantalising ‘Old Farm’ derby as East Anglian rivals Norwich and Ipswich meet.

For two teams that have been at a relatively similar level in years gone by, the current disparity in quality between the pair is clearly visible. In fact, they couldn’t possibly be further apart with Norwich a top the Championship standings with 57 points and Ipswich languishing at the foot of the table with a meagre 18 points to their name.

The arrival of Paul Lambert has done little to improve form at Portman Road, the former Aston Villa gaffer has overseen a W2, D3, L12 record since his appointment in late October. Performance data also has the Tractor Boys as the worst side in the division. They’re averaging just 0.7 xG for per game whilst giving up an average of 1.6 xG to their opposition on the same metric.

Scoring goals has been a major achilles heel for the Suffolk outfit. Bringing in lower league strikers in the form of Ellis Harrison and Kayden Jackson has yet to bare fruit meaning Lambert swooped to bring in Colin Quaner and Will Keane to the club in January. However, both are lacking match sharpness and have failed to have any kind of serious impact thus far.

Norwich, on the other hand, are cruising at the moment. Some were doubting whether German manager Daniel Farke was the real deal last season and the start of this, however he’s got his side fizzing.

Major credit also has to go to sporting director Stuart Webber for his canny recruitment drive in the summer. Webber performed a similar role at Huddersfield recently and was highly successful with his European imports proving great value for money. Like Huddersfield, Norwich are not one of the most cash rich clubs in the league but the smart additions of Teemu Pukki, Emiliano Buendia and Onel Hernandez highlight the value available on the continent when compared to home grown players of a similar level.

It seems to be a perfect storm at Carrow Road though. Along with the excellent additions the club have incorporated some players from their highly regarded youth set up. Flying wing-backs Jamal Lewis and Max Aarons are constantly being praised and it’s no surprise to see top clubs sniffing around the duo. The likes of Todd Cantwell and Ben Godfrey have also managed to fill in with aplomb.

Team News

Norwich are likely to remain unchanged from their win at Leeds last time out.

Timm Klose and Louis Thompson are the only absentees for the hosts.

Ipswich remain without Jon Walters, Jordan Spence, Grant Ward, Luke Chambers and Jonas Knudsen are all unavailable for the visitors.

Potential Norwich Starting XI: Krul, Aarons, Zimmermann, Godfrey, Lewis, Vrancic, Trybull, Buendia, Stiepermann, Hernandez, Pukki.

Potential Ipswich Starting XI: Bialkowski, Bree, Pennington, Collins, Kenlock, Skuse, Chalobah, Bishop, Sears, Judge, Quaner.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Ipswich have lost their last 6 away matches.
  • There has been over 2.5 goals in the last 7 Norwich home games.
  • Ipswich have been losing at Half time and full time in 5 of their last 6 away games.
  • Norwich have scored 2+ goals in their last 7 home fixtures.
  • Ipswich have conceded 2+ goals in their last 14 away games.

Betting Odds

  • Norwich – 2/5
  • Draw – 15/4
  • Ipswich – 17/2

The Verdict

Many say that when there’s a derby game the formbook goes out the window. That’s not a thought process I subscribe to though, it would be a major shock if Ipswich got anything here. Giving the overwhelming stats in favour of Norwich I’m keen to get the hosts on side.

We can back Norwich HT/Norwich FT at 23/20 and that looks a desirable angle. Ipswich have trailed at the break and gone on to lose in 5 of their last 6 matches away from home. Norwich have recently been leading and gone on to win in 3 of their last 4 victories.

I’m also happy to have a play in the Winning Margin market and back Norwich to win by exactly 2 goals at 3/1 with Bet365. I’d expect it to be a fairly comfortable win for the hosts but with the -1 handicap as short as evens I’m willing to take the bigger risk but bigger price on a win by precisely 2 goals.

Finally, it’s hard to ignore Finnish hotshot Teemu Pukki. The former Celtic man has 18 goals to his name currently and is fantastic form scoring in each of his last 3 games. We can back the main man to score anytime here at a shade under even money with Boylesports and it’s hard to turn down given the fact Norwich score plenty at home and Ipswich concede plenty on the road.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Norwich HT/Norwich FT – 23/20 (Ladbrokes)
  • 1pt – Norwich to win by exactly 2 goals – 3/1 (Bet365)
  • 1pt – Teemu Pukki anytime scorer – 20/21 (Boylesports)