Portugal v Poland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 20/11/18

Portugal v Poland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Mikey Patterson (@ThePattBlogs) previews Portugal v Poland and provides us with his best bets for Tuesdays Nations League group A game by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Portugal v Poland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 20/11/2018
  • Time: 19:45
  • Venue: Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal
  • Channel: N/A

The newly formed Nations League group stage reaches its conclusion for Group A on Tuesday evening as table toppers Portugal host bottom side Poland. Having ground out a 0-0 draw with Italy at the San Siro on Saturday evening, Portugal confirmed their place in the next stage of the competition, and the point for Italy means that Poland are now playing for pride, having picked up just a single point in their 3 games. Leading into the final group game, Poland find themselves 4 points behind Italy, and as such means they mathematically cannot finish any higher than their current position at the bottom of the 3 team group.

Portugal have progressed with somewhat relative ease, winning twice and drawing once, and they have secured their place into the next stage of the competition all without a single appearance from star man Cristiano Ronaldo. The Portuguese poster boy has not featured for his country since the World Cup, but this has not affected Fernando Santos and his team, who have not lost since their exit to Uruguay in Russia during the summer. Their path to qualifying in the Nations League could have been in question without their free scoring star in the picture but Portugal have made what could have been a tricky group look relatively simple as they enter their final game.

The story is a very different one for Poland, who have managed to muster just a single point from their 3 games so far. Their disappointment has continued following a poor World Cup, where they lost their opening two group stage games before finally getting some point on the board in the final game against Japan. They promptly changed the manager following their exit from the World Cup, but have failed to rectify their poor form since the World Cup and that has shown in the Nations League as well as their friendlies in between. Their last win was that final group game against Japan in Russia, and during the Nations league they can only boast a 1-1 draw away at Italy in their first group game back in September. Unlike Portugal, Poland have still had their focal point in attack featuring for them in Robert Lewandowski. Yet despite his well-known eye for the goal, he has not managed to score during this Nations League campaign, and, in fact, you have to go back to their friendly against Lithuania in June for his last goal for his country (7 games). He carried the vast weight of expectation for Poland during the World Cup but failed to find the net, and it seems that whatever has been the cause of this drought for his country, has continued. He did have the opportunity to end his international drought against the Czech Republic on Thursday in a friendly, but failed to take advantage of a glorious chance with the goal at his mercy.

Team News

Portugal will once again be without Ronaldo, and given that they are already safely through following the draw in Italy, it would not be a surprise to see Santos rotate his line up from the one that featured at the San Siro. And given some of those who started against Italy have featured heavily for their clubs, especially the likes of Ruben Neves and Bernardo Silva, both of which have endured the rigors of the Premier League, this visit of a struggling Poland side would make for an ideal opportunity to allow these players to recuperate ahead of what will be a hectic festive schedule in England.

As for Poland, reports suggest that they will be without their captain and focal attacking point in Lewandowski. The Polish FA have reported on their website that a ‘small knee injury’ that he has been carrying for ‘several days’. He is joined on the injury list by defender Artur Jedrzejczyk who has an ankle problem. It remains to be seen who the manager opts for in attack to replace their injured start striker, and given their position, would also be entitled to make changes to his line-up and formation.

Potential Portugal Starting XI: Patricio, Rui, Diaz, Fonte, Periera, Sanches, Carvalho, Pizzi, Guedes, A.Silva, Bruma

Potential Poland Starting XI: Szczensy, Bereszynski, Bednarek, Kaminski, Krychowiak, Zielinski, Grosicki, Linetty, Frankowski, Klich, Milik

Head To Head

  • Portugal have won 6 out of 12 games against Poland, and have lost only 3, with the remaining 3 ending in a draw.
  • Out of their 12 meetings, only 1 has ended without a goal, a 0-0 friendly played out in Poland in 2012.
  • From the 12 encounters, Portugal have scored in 9 of those games.
  • Portugal have managed to score 2 or more past Poland in 5 games.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both sides will be missing their top scorers in Ronaldo (85) and Lewandowski (55).
  • Poland have only ever managed to beat Portugal when visiting them, a 2-0 World Cup win in Porto back in 1976.
  • Poland’s last visit, during the European Championship qualifiers in September 2007, saw the game finish in a 2-2 draw thanks to a late equaliser (88 min) for Poland from Jacek Krzynowek.

Betting Odds

  • Portugal 1.60
  • Draw 3.60
  • Poland 6.50

The Verdict

Very hard to call given that the group is all done and dusted before this final game.

Poland faced an uphill struggle to try and change their fortunes in this game, and that struggle will be made all the much tougher missing the captain and target man.

Portugal, on the other hand, have already shown they can manage without Ronaldo during this Nations League group, and will have every confidence that they can continue their form against a struggling Poland.

With no more than pride on the line, more so for Poland, the changes that could be made by both sides makes it an unpredictable one before more team news emerges in the led-up to the game.

Recommended Bets

  • Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 (bet365)