Rennes v Monaco Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 31/04/19
James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Rennes v AS Monaco and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday’s Ligue 1 clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +6.49pts
Rennes v AS Monaco Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 01/04/19
- Time: 18:00
- Venue: Roazhon Park
- Channel: N/A
Defeat at the Parc des Princes last time out means that Monaco are yet to shake off that seemingly impossible threat of relegation to Ligue 2. Leanardo Jardim will be hoping to finally create some breathing space from Caen in 18th as they take on an out-of-form Rennes side.
Well, I say out-of-form, this Rennes side on Saturday came from two goals down to beat PSG in the Coupe de France final on penalties, their first Coupe de France since 1971.
Nevertheless, Rennes are in a dismal run of form in Ligue 1, winning just 1 of their last 9. Their dip in form coincidentally occurs soon after they were knocked out of the Europa League by Arsenal in the last 16, where the Gunners overturned a 3-1 deficit from the first leg to qualify for the quarter finals.
The performance in the first leg of that tie at Roazhon Park displayed some of the talent that Rennes has among its ranks. Hatem Ben Arfa can still play at 32, Ismalia Sarr has contributed to 11 goals this season along with ex-Milan man Mbaye Niang whilst Benjamin Bourigeaud also impressed on the day. The versatile Bourigeaud has also enjoyed an impressive season in Ligue 1, scoring 5 and setting up 5 in this campaign.
Despite their slump in form leading them to 11th in the table and 15 points off how many they accumulated last season (with still 5 games to go), victory on Saturday and a piece of silverware means that whatever happens in the final five games of the Ligue 1 season, it was a memorable year for Rennes fans.
I’m not going to go into detail about Monaco, you can see that on my PSG v Monaco preview, however, Jardim’s men are yet to secure top-flight football for 2019/20, a sentence that many would’ve thought was a typo if they had seen it prior to the season.
All Monaco fans will be hoping for a win on Wednesday, one that should really save them from the drop, and will finally allow them to wipe this season off the map and look ahead to next year. Speaking of next season, they will likely face a battle from Leicester and other Premier League clubs for the services of loanee Youri Tielemans, who has sparkled in his short stint for the Foxes. If Monaco are to rebuild and get back to where they belong, keeping a player like Tielemans will be crucial in doing that. The Belgian is a unique talent with his attributes being ideal for a modern-day midfielder and he’s a player that is seemingly comfortable in any midfield role, whether it be as a #6, #8 or possibly as high as a #10.
Their recruitment has also got to be spot on as well this summer and in the next couple of windows. They’ve done it before in 2015 and 2016 when they signed Fabinho (Rio Ave), Bernardo Silva (Benfica), Benjamin Mendy (Marseille), Djibril Sidibe (Lille) and turned them into regular internationals, the first three players listed selling for over £40m each. The Monaco of two years ago and even last season is where this club needs to be, not still struggling against relegation with just 5 games to go.
The home side will be missing a number of key men for Wednesday’s game with Mbaye Niang, Ismaila Sarr and Clement Grenier all missing due to suspension. Ludovic Baal, Rafik Guitane, Romain Danze, Jordan Siebatcheu and James Lea Sikili are all also likely to miss out due to injury.
Monaco have some injury woes of their own with Radamel Falcao and Cesc Fabregas being doubts for this one. Summer signing Pele is certainly out due to suspension.
Potential Rennes Starting XI: Koubek, Traore, Mexer, Da Silva, Doumbia, Bourigeaud, Gelin, Andre, Del Castillo, Ben Arfa, Hunou.
Potential Monaco Starting XI: Benaglio, Henrichs, Glik, Badiashile, Toure, Martins, Silva, Jemerson, Lopes, Golovin, Sylla.
Head To Head
- Reverse fixture ended in a 2-1 victory for Rennes back in October.
- Last 10 (all comps): Rennes-1, Draw-4, Monaco-5.
Key Stats & Facts
- Monaco sit just 3 points above Caen in 18th, this game on Wednesday is their game in-hand.
- Monaco are currently 58 points off the total they finished with last season (80).
- With 5 games left, Rennes are 8 points off a Europa League spot.
- With Niang and Sarr suspended for Rennes, it means that two of their 3 top scorers will be missing.
- Falcao is potentially out for Monaco as well, he’s the club’s top scorer this season with 12 Ligue 1 goals, this is a problem as the next highest scorer in the current side is Gelson Martins with just 3.
- The away side have the worst disciplinary record in Ligue 1 with 72 yellows and 7 red cards this season.
- Rennes 9/4
- Draw 45/17
- Monaco 23/17
With both sides potentially missing key players going forward, I think this has the makings of a low-scorer. Even when fully fit, these aren’t two sides that set the world alight in front of goal; Rennes scoring 45 in 33 and Monaco only being able to muster 32 goals this season. The loss of players like Sarr, Niang and Falcao surely means both sides will struggle to break down competent backlines. With this in mind, I’m going to confidently back U2.5 goals at just shy of evens.
The other bet I like for this one follows a similar pattern. I’m going to back a 0-0 half-time score. With an injury to Falcao, Jardim may set his side out to just not get beat and hold a 4 point advantage over Caen going into the final stretch. I could see Monaco looking to keep the game at 0-0 for as long as possible, before potentially pushing in the latter stages. Moreover, this is a Monaco side that have scored just 11 goals in the first halves of 33 games this season whilst Rennes have also only scored 22.