Roma vs Juventus Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 12/05/19

Roma vs Juventus Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Roma vs Juventus and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Serie A clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -1.64pts

Roma vs Juventus Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 12/05/19
  • Time: 19:30
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico
  • Channel: N/A

This weekend’s match-up between Roma and Juventus sees the Giallorossi look to keep the pressure on fourth placed Atalanta, whilst Juve look to restore some order as their league campaign stumbles towards its end.

Juve’s goal of winning the Champions League ended prematurely from their point of view, going out in the quarter-finals to Ajax. The title has been wrapped up for a couple of months now and given they are out of the Coppa Italia and UCL, the motivation seems to be at an all time low.

Rumours linking players away from the club seem to be distracting the side and the managerial issue won’t go away.

All of this suits Roma perfectly, as they look to continue their charge on the top four. They sit three points behind Atalanta with three games to go and are currently on a six-match run without defeat.

They have been extremely hard to beat at home this season in the league, losing just twice and with the incentive of Champions League football, they will be the team who have the most ambition, you would think.

The Old Lady have Cristiano Ronaldo to thank this season as he has hug them out of holes on numerous occasions, including the Derby Della Mole against Torino and Inter away. Juventus are actually slight underdogs here and that tells you what you need to know about their current form.

Team News

Diego Perotti is the only unavailable player for Roma this weekend, whilst Juventus still have a list of players out injured.

Sami Khedira, Emre Can, Mario Mandzukic, Douglas Costa and Alex Sandro are all out injured, whilst Federico Bernardeschi is suspended. Paulo Dybala is back available for Juve but Moise Kean could keep him out the starting eleven.

Potential Roma Starting XI: Mirante; Florenzi, Manolas, Fazio, Kolarov; Cristante, De Rossi; Zaniolo, Pellegrini, El Shaarawy; Dzeko

Potential Juventus Starting XI: Szczesny; Cancelo, Bonucci, Chiellini, De Sciglio; Cuadrado, Pjanic, Matuidi, Spinazzola; Kean, Ronaldo

Head To Head

  • Juve lead the H2H with 26 wins, 16 draws and 13 defeats. Roma have beaten Juve just three times in the last 17 meetings in the league. Juve have won four of the last six league meetings.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Roma are undefeated in their last five home matches against Juve in all competitions.
  • Roma are undefeated in 11 of their last 12 home league matches.
  • Under 2.5 goals has landed in eight of the last 10 games between these two sides in Rome in all competitions.

Betting Odds

  • Roma – 8/5
  • Draw – 12/5
  • Juve – 19/10

The Verdict

This is a game where I just do not see Juve winning and that really is saying something. They have been dumped out of the Champions League and have won just one of their last four league matches. They have gone behind early in their last two against Torino at home and Inter away, only for Ronaldo to save them with an equaliser. They haven’t looked convincing all season and since they wrapped up the title, they look like a side already on their holidays.

As for Roma, they still have everything to play for. They are three points off the top four with three games to play and they will see this as a game they really can win and they head into the game on the back of six games without defeat, albeit drawing three of them. They have lost just four of their last 20 league matches and have lost just twice at home all season, with a record reading; W10 D5 L2 at the Stadio Olimpico this campaign.

Roma don’t have a brilliant record against Juventus, but they are undefeated against them in their last five games, winning one and drawing three. Under 2.5 goals has landed in seven of the last 10 league matches between them and has also landed in three of Juve’s last four away matches. The Old Lady have only won one of their last four away games, losing to SPAL and Genoa in recent games on the road.

Juventus have been lucky in recent draws against Torino and Inter to get anything from them, having gone behind in both and I think that trend will continue here. Roma need a win and this looks like a realistic chance given how un-bothered Juve look and all the injuries they have.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Roma to be leading after 30 minutes – 3/1 (Ladbrokes)
  • 1pt – Ronaldo to score anytime – 29/20 (Unibet)