Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Southampton vs Leicester City and provides us with his best bets for Friday Night Football by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -8.1pts
Southampton v Leicester Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 25/10/19
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: St Mary’s
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Leicester City will be looking to continue their strong start to the season when they travel down to the south-coast to face a struggling Southampton side in Friday Night Football.
The Foxes currently sit in third place with 17 points, just two behind second-placed Manchester City, whilst Saints languish down in 17th, with just two wins so far this campaign.
Leicester came from behind last weekend to earn their fifth win of the season, having been beaten just twice thus far, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester United on the road.
Southampton have now gone four games without a win in the league, a run stretching back to mid-September. They have lost three of those four games, including damaging home defeats to Bournemouth and Chelsea. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side are still looking for their first three points of the season at St Mary’s.
Both of these sides have struggled to keep clean sheets in the league, with just two a-piece. The Foxes look incredibly dangerous going forward, however, with the likes of Jamie Vardy, who now has six goals, Harvey Barnes, James Maddison and Youri Tielemans.
The away side are the favourites to win the game but remain an odds-against shout at an appealing 11/8. Southampton are consistently scoring at least one in most games so this could be a close game but Leicester will be gunning for the three points here.
Southampton will continue to be without Moussa Djenepo and Cedric Soares here, as they remain out with injury.
Brendan Rodgers is hoping that James Maddison will be fit after playing last weekend with an injury.
Potential Southampton Starting XI: Gunn; Bednarek, Yoshida, Vestergaard; Valery, Romeu, Hojbjerg, Bertrand; Ward-Prowse, Redmond; Ings
Potential Lecce Starting XI: Schmeichel; Pereira, Evans, Soyuncu, Chilwell; Ndidi; Gray, Maddison, Tielemans, Barnes; Vardy
Head To Head
- There has been 10 matches played between these two since Leicester were promoted to the Premier League back in 2014. Leicester have won four of those games, Southampton three and three draws. Leicester have won the last two times they have travelled to St Mary’s.
Key Stats & Facts
- Southampton are yet to win a game at home in the league this season.
- BTTS has landed in 66% of each sides league games this season.
- Both have kept just two clean sheets in the league.
- Danny Ings has scored in each of his last three games.
- Southampton – 2/1
- Draw – 5/2
- Leicester – 11/8
As I have mentioned already, these sides struggle to keep clean sheets. Southampton and Leicester have both kept just two but the Saints have conceded double what Leicester have with 16, alternatively, Leicester have scored 16 goals, compared to Southampton’s 9.
The angles I am going to go with here do involve goals. Southampton might not be scoring a load, averaging just the one goal a game, but have managed to get on the score-sheet in all of their four home games so far, despite not winning any of them. As for Leicester, they have scored in three of their four away games and are averaging closer to two goals per game (1.7) but are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home. Leicester to win and BTTS is the bet to go for at 7/2, considering both these sides have seen BTTS in the majority of their games so far this season (each seeing this land in 6/9 games, 66%). This bet has also landed the last two times Leicester have gone to St Mary’s, winning 2-1 and 4-1.
My other bet is for Danny Ings to score anytime at 21/10. He has managed a goal in each of his last three games in the league, taking his tally to four for the season, which equates to almost half of Southampton’s total goals scored this season. He poses the biggest threat to this Leicester side and given that the Foxes struggle to keep oppositions sides out, Ings will fancy his chances.