Sri Lanka v England 3rd Test Betting Preview & Tips | 23/11/18
Cricket specialist Neil Eyes (@nellbergcricket) previews Sri Lanka v England and provides us with his best bets for the third test which begins on Friday.
Sri Lanka v England 3rd Test Betting Preview & Tips
England have the series wrapped up 2-0 as they travel to Colombo for the 3rd test. Sri Lanka fought hard in the 2nd test but ultimately came up short, they certainly aren’t the side they were a few years ago and not even home advantage could save them here. With Herath retiring, Chandimal getting injured and Dhananjaya missing the test due to an illegal bowling action they’re in a bit of disarray. If they won the toss and got off to a solid start they could still be competitive, but they’re not in a good place at the moment.
England are the opposite, confidence will be high after sealing a series win in Asia, they’re resting Anderson so Broad will have a point to prove and with Curran injured Bairstow is back and will bat 3. That move pushes Foakes down to 8 so the batting depth looks strong, and they still have 5 bowling options and, most importantly out in Sri Lanka, 3 spinners. England’s 3 spinners have out-bowled their Sri Lankan counterparts and that’s been one of the keys to England’s success.
My tip is along those lines, combining 2 of England’s spin trio in the “first innings top bowler” market. The pitch should neutralise Stuart Broad, and Ben Stokes hasn’t bowled many overs. In conditions where the ball reverses Stokes is a threat, but we’ve not seen that this series and spin has been dominant. Maharaj took 9 in the 1st innings here in July and Sri Lanka bowled 2 overs of seam in the entire game, so it doesn’t look like their will be anything in it for the quicks. In the previous test Herath and Ashwin won the top 1st innings bowler market, so the recent picture has been all about spin, Adil Rashid has been used as a partnership-breaker, he’s leaked runs at times and hasn’t bowled massive long spells so I’m happy to combine the 2 English finger spinners here. Leach and Moeen will bowl a lot of overs, Moeen has 14 wickets for the series (6 in the 1st innings, winning this market once) and Leach has 13 for the series (5 in the 1st innings, tying this market once). Leach has been England most reliable bowler but Moeen has really threatened the left handers. At the prices they both looks worth supporting, Moeen is 2/1 and 9/4 in the majority of places yet 3/1 with Betfred. Leach is 9/4 and 5/2 in the majority of places but 4/1 with Betfred, both of those prices look too big. and provide us with value bets.