St-Etienne v Strasbourg Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 13/02/19

St-Etienne v Strasbourg Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Sam Langston (@Samlan98) previews Saint-Étienne v Strasbourg and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday’s Ligue 1 clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +1.73pts

Saint-Étienne v Strasbourg Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 13/02/2019
  • Time: 18:00
  • Venue: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Channel: BT Sport ESPN

The goal lines in Ligue 1 tend to provide some tasty prices for Overs backers and I think there’s an opportunity to exploit this on Wednesday, when Saint-Étienne welcome Strasbourg to the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.

I talked about Étienne’s offensive capabilities in my preview of their match against Marseille a few weeks ago, a game which they managed to win 2-1, and despite a recent decline in results, their fixtures are continuing to produce plenty of goals.

Les Verts followed up their victory over OM with a first Ligue 1 loss of the season at home, being defeated 2-1 by rivals Lyon after a dramatic, last minute Moussa Dembélé winner. Three days later, a pulsating Coupe de France quarter-final clash proceeded the Derby Rhône-Alpes disappointment, with Wednesday’s hosts being dumped out of the competition after 6-3 thumping by Dijon at the Geoffroy-Guichard. Further frustration then followed, with Sainté being pegged back to draw 1-1 at Nantes.

Most recently, ASSE’s 3-0 loss to Rennes on Sunday made it four without a win and five without recording a clean sheet and their defensive resolve will again be tested in midweek, when they host fellow Europa League hopefuls Strasbourg.

Occupying ninth position, and having also secured a spot in the Coupe de la Ligue final, the French top flight’s surprise-package are enjoying a superb campaign so far. In fact, Racing are having their best season since their title triumph in 1978/79, both in terms of points and goals scored, and, until last Saturday, were on a run of four consecutive Ligue 1 victories for the first time in 22 years.

Thierry Laurey’s troops have W6-D2-L2 over their last 10 games in all competitions, with their only defeats coming by a respectable 2-0 score-line away to domestic dominators PSG and 2-1 at home to Angers last time out, despite winning the xG count 1.14-0.74. A tempting 6/5 can be snatched up on the visitors with a +0.25 start on the Asian Handicap and this is certainly worthy of consideration, but my preference here is to take on the goal line, with both sides being capable of finding the net.

Team News

Ole Selnæs has finally forced a big money move to FC Shenzen in China, so Youssef Aït Bennasser is likely to retain his place in the Sainté midfield. Key duo Yann M’Vila and Wahbi Khazri missed the trip to Rennes through suspension but will come back into the starting line-up here. Romain Hamouma’s red card at the weekend means he’ll miss out.

Influential wide-man Kenny Lala (thigh) and fellow full-back Anthony Caci (ankle) are both unavailable for Strasbourg. Dimitri Liénard is also absent through illness.

Potential Saint-Étienne Starting XI: Ruffier, Kolodziejczak, Perrin, Subotić, Gabriel, Aït Bennasser, M’Vila, Monnet-Paquet, Cabella, Khazri, Diony.

Potential Strasbourg Starting XI: Sels, N'Dour, Martinez, Mitrović, Koné, Aaneba, Prcić, Sissoko, Thomasson, Ajorque, Mothiba.

Head To Head

  • The pair have met four times since Strasbourg’s return to Ligue 1 in 2017. The spoils have been shared on three of these occasions, with Saint-Étienne being the side to secure the only victory.
  • Last season’s fixture at the Geoffroy-Guichard ended in a 2-2 draw.

Key Stats & Facts

  • League games at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard are producing 2.82 goals.
  • Saint-Étienne’s last four fixtures in Ligue 1 have produced an average xG figure of 3.86.
  • At home, Étienne are surrendering the third most shots, seventh most shots on target, and seventh highest xGA figure per-game
  • Only PSG have a superior goals per-game average than Strasbourg.

Betting Odds

  • Saint-Étienne – 19/20
  • Draw – 27/10
  • Strasbourg – 7/2

The Verdict                                            

On the data front, there’s enough evidence to suggest that Strasbourg can cause this recently susceptible Saint-Étienne defence some problems.

Ranking in the top ten for each of attempts on target, attempts in the penalty area, and xG away from home, the visitors are creating ample chances, and they’re tucking them away in emphatic fashion. Only PSG boast a better attacking efficiency than Racing exceptional 17.54% conversion rate, and with the hosts’ present defensive problems, this suggests that there’s goals here for the guests.

Still, RCSA have however only managed to shut out their opposition two times in 11 on the road and they may be punished by a wounded Étienne, who will be keen to get back to winning ways on Wednesday.

Jean Louis-Gasset was furious with the officiating in Sainté’s defeat to Rennes at the weekend, so he’ll have his side fired-up here, and this could lead to an open contest. On average, Les Verts are notching two goals per-game at home and rank highly in all the main offensive data metrics, so despite picking-up mixed results of late, we can expect them to give a good-showing going forward.

Recommended Bets

  • 1 point – Over 2.5 Goals – 11/10 (Betfair)