Torino v AC Milan Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 26/09/19

Torino v AC Milan Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Torino vs Milan and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday night’s Serie A fixture by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -4pts

Torino v AC Milan Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 26/09/19
  • Time: 19:45
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Thursday’s Serie A fixture sees two struggling sides face off in Turin, as Torino host Milan, with both sides looking to bounce back from defeats last weekend.

Milan were second-best in the Derby della Madonnina and were comfortably beaten by Inter. Torino were also disappointing in their 1-0 defeat to Sampdoria, who had lost all three of their league matches up to that game.

Torino had started the season well with wins against Sassuolo and Atalanta but then went on to lose to newly-promoted Lecce before their 1-0 loss in Sampdoria. They are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, leaking six goals in their six matches, whilst also scoring six themselves.

Milan’s problems are most certainly their lack of threat in attack. Whilst they have the likes of Piatek, Rebic, Suso and Leao, they are finding it difficult to get the ball to those players in dangerous positions. They’ve score just two goals, one from the penalty spot and look like a side struggling to find the right combinations up-front.

Two teams who are struggling in the early stages of the season and yet both will fancy their chances. Torino have won just one match against Milan since 1994 so history is definitely not on their side but that one win did come the last time Milan travelled to Turin.

In a game where neither are doing much to suggest they are worth backing, this game looks very difficult to call and a draw the most likely outcome.

Team News    

Christian Ansaldi and Sasa Lukic are unavailable for the hosts. Diego Laxalt is expected to be recalled to the starting 11 at left-back but otherwise, Torino will more than likely keep the side that lost to Sampdoria last weekend.

Calabria could come into the starting 11 but like Torino, Milan won’t make too many changes to the side that played in the Derby.

Potential Torino Starting XI: Sirigu; Izzo, Lyanco, Bonifazi; Silvestri, Meite, Baselli, Rincon, Laxalt; Zaza, Belotti

Potential Milan Starting XI: Donnarumma; Calabria, Musacchio, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Kessie, Biglia, Calhanoglu; Suso; Leao, Piatek

Head To Head

Remarkably, Torino have only ever beaten Milan ONCE since 1994 and that win was the last time these two played each other back in April. Otherwise, Milan have won 16 times and there have been 16 draws. Milan haven’t actually beaten Torino in the league since 2016, with there being four draws in six games since then.

Key Stats & Facts

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Torino’s last four home games.
  • Torino are undefeated in their last six home games against Milan in all competitions.
  • Milan have only score two league goals so far this season and only one that wasn’t a penalty.

Betting Odds

  • Torino – 14/9
  • Draw – 9/4
  • Milan – 21/10

The Verdict

Neither of these teams are firing on all cylinders at the minute and both teams are conceding goals. Torino have conceded six goals against them, including two to Lecce, and whilst Milan have only leaked the three, they were extremely fortunate to not concede in those two games against Bresica and Verona. Milan will be fancying their chances of getting their season kick-started here and the likes of Piatek, Suso and Leao will start to come good sooner or later.

In Andrea Belotti, Torino have a player who can unlock this Milan defence and he has already scored two goals in the league, as well as six goals in Europa League qualifying. He will be looking to continue his good start with more goals here and Milan will have to defend better than they have done to prevent him from doing so.

It is a tough game to call because of the form, which is why the draw at 9/4 appeals. Four of the last six games between these two have been draws and Torino are undefeated in their last six home games against Milan in all comps. However, Torino’s record against Milan is quite remarkable, winning just one game against them since 1994. Given that, the draw does look the most likely result, but I do expect both teams to get at least one goal.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Draw – 9/4 (Bet365)
  • 1pt – BTTS – 10/11 (Bet365)