Tottenham v Ajax Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 30/04/19
Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Tottenham v Ajax and provides us with his best bets for The first leg of the Semi-Finals by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +12.55pts
Tottenham v Ajax Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 30/04/2019
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Channel: BT Sports 2
Ajax continue to exceed all expectation and I think it’s fair to say that after knocking out Real Madrid and Juventus, they won’t be the slightest bit worried about inflicting the same damage on Tottenham. Tottenham come into the game with their hand severely weakened. Kane’s absence is already a huge blow but to also miss out on Son could be huge, as it leaves all pressure rested on Moura and Llorente, the latter who score the decisive goal in the previous round.
The Dutch FA have definitely stepped in and done Ajax a favour. They postponed all the games from this weekend’s action to allow Ajax a longer rest period, aswell as not affecting the title race with teams having played inferior games. This kind of action shows how much it means to a country such as Holland to have a team progress so far, it does raise question marks around the morality of doing such a thing when they know the English FA would never follow suit.
Both sides sit in a nervy position domestically also, with Spurs chasing the top 4 spots, which a win against West Ham at the weekend would have confirmed, however they failed to do so. Ajax on the other hand find themselves neck and neck with PSV, and only ahead on goal difference. They sit on 80 points with a staggering 81 goal difference, to PSV’s impressive 71. Two wins from the final two games is what Ajax need to ensure the League title comes home to them, aswell as cementing their place in the Champions League final in Madrid.
The winner of the tie goes through to play the Winner of Barcelona v Liverpool, and although no one would have realistically put these 4 teams into the Semi Final, it is shaping up to be one hell of a tasty draw.
Kane is out for the home side which is a huge loss. Sissoko is also out after his injury forced him off in the quarter finals. Aurier also remains out with a long term injury. Son is also suspended after his yellow against City which leaves the home side very light in attacking options.
Ajax only possible absentee is Mazroui, who is questionable if he will return in time.
Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Trippier, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Vertonghen, Wanyama, Eriksen, Alli, Rose, Lucas, Llorente
Potential Ajax Starting XI: Onana, Veltman, De ligt, Blind, Tagliafico, Schone, De Jong, Ziyech, Van de Beek, Neres, Tadic
Head To Head
- The sides have only met twice back in 1981, when spurs came out victories both times.
Key Stats & Facts
- Ajax have had a week rest after the Dutch FA postponed all the games to give them the best chance of progressing.
- Spurs have won 8 of their last 10 home Champions League games.
- Ajax have netted an average of 3 goals per game in their last 8 away matches.
- Spurs 8/5
- Draw 12/5
- Ajax 2/1
One bet that stands out for me is the half time score to be 0-0. Tottenham have yet to score a first half goal in the Champions League at home this campaign. All 9 of their goals were after the break and 6 of those were in the last 15 minutes. Ajax will also be happy going into the break at 0-0 and will look to pounce later on in the tie. Spurs have only one first half goal in 1 of their last 5 at home aswell, against a very poor Huddersfield side.
Another bet I like the look of is David Neres anytime goalscroer. He has scored in both of the last 2 Champions League game against Madrid and Juve. He also was rested for most of Ajax’s latest game, albeit last week. He often doesn’t get the plaudits he deserves in this side because the like of Tadic and Ziyech catch the eye, however this lets Neres slip under the radar and Spurs may under estimate the talent the young Brazilian has.