Tottenham v Bournemouth Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 26/12/18
James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Spurs v Bournemouth and provides us with his best bets for this Boxing Day clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Tottenham v Bournemouth Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 26/12/18
- Time: 15:00
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
- Channel: N/A
Spurs will be looking to make it five wins a row since against a Bournemouth side that have struggled against the top six so far this season.
Eddie Howe’s side find themselves in 8th and have suffered a severe dip in form since their last- minute defeat to Manchester United at the start of November. The Cherries were able to pick up three points against 10-man Brighton on Saturday, but have lost 6 of their last 8 after starting the season out with only two defeats in ten.
Bournemouth have had a number of star performers this season with Ryan Fraser being their highest rated player (according to whoscored.com) with a 7.06 rating in the league. The Scotsman has registered 4 goals and 8 assists so far this season, but has yet to score or assist in the five games Bournemouth have played against the top six.
Record-signing Jefferson Lerma has been the lynchpin for Bournemouth this season, the ex-Levante man holds key attributes that will allow him to become a successful box-to-box midfielder in the Premier League. 21-year old David Brooks has also been a hit on the South coast. The Welshman was brought in from Sheffield United in the summer for around £10m and has scored 5 in 15 appearances this season. The dynamic attacking midfielder reminds me a lot of Riyad Mahrez from Man City.
Nevertheless, this will be a tough task for this Bournemouth side. Spurs haven’t lost since their humbling defeat at the Emirates last month and only Liverpool, City and Barcelona have come into Wembley and beaten Spurs this season. Since their NLD defeat, Spurs have won all four league games, qualified for the CL last 16 and have knocked Arsenal out of the Carabao Cup with a 2-0 win at the Emirates.
Their performance on Sunday should also frighten the two teams above them. They were simply superb. Christian Eriksen and Heung Min-Son have come into their own over the past month whilst Dele Alli is hitting his typical festive form. Not to mention Harry Kane quietly moving up to 2nd in the goal-scoring charts. The flexibility and fluency this Spurs side has going forward is up there with the best teams in Europe, let alone the Premier League. The 6-2 win at Everton showed the different elements of Spurs’ attacking play and showed how their fast, free-flowing football will be danger for any side they come up against.
Moussa Sissoko has been vital in their recent success. The previously labelled ‘flop’ by so many has come into his own in the centre of midfield this season. He’s certainly filled the void left by the injured Mousa Dembele by providing pace and power in Spurs’ midfield. The Frenchman is by no means the complete footballer but his improvement has been incredible, he looks so much more comfortable on the ball and is such a threat in transition.
Dele Alli was brought off at half-time as a precaution at Everton on Sunday and may not feature. Eric Dier and Jan Vertonghen are likely to be out until January whilst Serge Aurier and Mousa Dembele are close to a return to the Spurs squad.
There are no new injury concerns for Bournemouth, but Adam Smith, Dan Gosling and Lewis Cook are side-lined for sustained periods of time with knee injuries.
Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Trippier, Alderweireld, Foyth, Rose, Sissoko, Skipp, Eriksen, Son, Lucas, Kane.
Potential Bournemouth Starting XI: Begovic, Francis, Cook, Ake, Daniels, Brooks, Lerma, Surman, Fraser, King, Wilson.
Head To Head
- Have only met 7 times ever- Spurs: 5, Draw: 1, Bournemouth: 1.
- Spurs have only conceded twice to Bournemouth in 5 PL meetings.
Key Stats & Facts
- Spurs have never conceded a goal at home to Bournemouth in the PL.
- Harry Kane moved to 11 league goals after his brace at Everton.
- Bournemouth have lost against all the top 6 sides they have played this season.
- Two players for Bournemouth have registered over 10 PL G+A’s this season (Callum Wilson- 13, Ryan Fraser- 12).
- Bournemouth have only won two of their last 8 whilst Spurs have won their last 4.
- Spurs have only managed to keep two clean sheets in seven home games this season (in PL).
- Spurs are now only two points behind Man City in 2nd and are 6 points off the top.
- Spurs 4/11
- Draw 9/2
- Bournemouth 15/2
With Spurs winning their last four and Bournemouth losing five out of five against sides in the top six this season, I see Spurs continuing the pattern and getting the result on Boxing Day.
However, with Spurs’ struggle to keep clean sheets this season, especially at home (2 in 7), the BTTS and win for Spurs looks tempting at 7/4.
Bournemouth do have the likes of Wilson, King, Brooks and Fraser among its ranks, and I see the Cherries causing problems for a Spurs defence that has been susceptible in allowing their opponents to create chances and on average, do concede a goal per game.
With Spurs hitting six on Sunday and scoring in 17/18 league games this season, I do see Spurs scoring a few against a Bournemouth side that have conceded 4 to Liverpool, 4 to Burnley and 3 to City this season whilst conceding 2 or more in 10 league games so far. I’m looking towards the Spurs to score in both halves market, with Spurs also scoring more in the first half (19) than they do in the second (17).