Tottenham v Southampton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 28/09/19

Tottenham v Southampton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Chris Bland (@blandc_1996) previews Tottenham v Southampton and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019/2020 Season Profit & Loss: -1.36pts

Tottenham v Southampton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 28/09/19
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Channel: N/A

Tottenham host Southampton on Saturday as they look to bounce back from a disappointing run of results for Mauricio Pochettino’s men.

A shock exit to Colchester in the League Cup made it no wins in three for Spurs, and has heaped the pressure on Pochettino. Coupled with a disappointing defeat to Leicester last weekend, and giving away a two-goal lead in Greece against Olympiacos, Spurs are in desperate need of a result to appease the home fans. Sat 7th in the league, they are already 3 points off the Top 4, and need to ensure the gap doesn’t grow any further.

Southampton are the visiting side to the Tottenham Hotspur stadium, and come into the game with a mixed bag of form. A comprehensive victory over Portsmouth in the League Cup is the confidence boost they needed going into the weekend, after a poor first half performance against Bournemouth left them with too much to do in the second half. 13th in the league but only 3 points above the relegation zone, this is the first of a tough run of fixtures for Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men, and scraping points where they can is a must in this tricky period.

Team News

Tottenham are still without summer signings Giovani Lo Celso and Ryan Sessegnon. With a midweek Champions League game to contend with against Bayern Munich, Pochettino could once again be tempted to rotate his side.

Ralph Hasenhuttl has confirmed that there are no new injury worries for Southampton heading into this fixture, meaning Alex McCarthy and Moussa Djenepo will miss out once again for the Saints.

Potential Tottenham Starting XI: Lloris; Aurier, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Rose; N’Dombele, Winks; Son, Lamela, Moura; Kane

Potential Southampton Starting XI: Gunn; Soares, Bednarek, Vestergaard, Bertrand; Romeu, Hojbjerg, Ward-Prowse; Boufal, Redmond; Ings

Head To Head

  • Tottenham – 81 Wins
  • Draws – 49
  • Southampton – 63 Wins

Key Stats & Facts

  • Harry Kane has scored in his last five appearances against Southampton.
  • Tottenham are the joint third highest scorers in the Premier League (3).
  • Che Adams is yet to score in 6 Premier League appearances for Southampton.
  • Referee Graham Scott is averaging 2.66 yellow cards per game this season.

Betting Odds

  • Tottenham 5/11
  • Draw 19/5
  • Southampton 7/1

The Verdict

Southampton’s defence showed their vulnerabilities against Bournemouth last weekend, particularly against Josh King’s pace in behind the back line in the first half. When chasing the game, they were opened up by King and Callum Wilson on the break, with Vestergaard and Bednarek less than convincing. As a result, I expect to see Southampton try and sit deep, as well as narrow, and look to hit Tottenham on the break in similar fashion to that Newcastle did in their victory here. Southampton showed against Manchester United they were more than capable of doing so, with Oriol Romeu and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg putting in excellent performances in front of the back four, and will be expecting more of the same if they are able to earn a result on Saturday. They will look to capitalise upon set pieces, given the dead-ball ability of James Ward-Prowse and the height from the back, and this will represent their best chances going forward.

Tottenham have also struggled to break teams down of lately, however the front four have showed signs of clicking in patches against Leicester and Olympiacos, whilst also putting in a devastating performance against Palace in the first half. Son in particular will relish the prospect of playing against this less than mobile centre back pairing, and was able to capitalise on this in their 4-0 victory over Palace, targeting a rusty Mamadou Sakho. They should have enough to break down this Southampton side, who are still letting up chances at an alarming rate in their last three games, with an xG against of 1.7 across these games. However, Angus Gunn comes into the game in excellent form, and another big performance will be needed if he is to keep out this Spurs side.

It will need to be a patient approach from Spurs against a compact Southampton side, who will be looking to frustrate Spurs for long periods of the game. Given their issues with breaking teams down in recent weeks Tottenham and Under 3.5 goals stands out at 5/4.

Possessing an excellent scoring record against Southampton, Harry Kane is as short as 3/5 in some places to score anytime. Instead, I am looking at Heung-Min Son to score anytime. With 2 goals already this season, he is averaging 4 shots per game showing he is not afraid to have a go, and should’ve added to his goalscoring tally against Leicester last weekend. If the game opens up, he will be able to target Southampton’s lack of pace at the back towards the end, and is well rested having only come on as a sub against Colchester in midweek. Potentially up against Sofiane Boufal, his defensive work rate is at times questionable, and could leave the Southampton full back exposed to Son’s dangerous movement. Key to breaking down Palace’s compact defence with two goals, he should find pockets of space by drifting from wide areas in a similar fashion once again and as a result, 6/4 (Betfred) to score anytime is taking my fancy.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Tottenham and Under 3.5 goals – 5/4 (bet365)
  • 0.5pts – Heung-Min Son to score anytime – 6/4 (Betfred)