Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Uruguay v Peru and provides us with his best bets for this quarter final match up by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +6.03pts

Uruguay v Peru Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 29/06/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Arena Fonte Nova
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Uruguay continue to pick up the victories they need, another huge win against Chile last time out meant they drew Peru instead od Colombia, which on paper is a much better draw. Cavani’s late goal sealed the win meaning Uruguay racked up 2 wins from 3 and topped the group on 7 points.

Peru were looking strong until their latest outing, where Brazil absolutely ran riot and put 5 goals past the Peruvians. However a 3-1 win against Bolivia and the point against Venezuela was enough to send them through as a high ranked 3rd place team.

Uruguay have the ability to beat anyone on their day, with a strike force of Cavani and Suarez they really are a force to be reckoned with. Uruguay have scored 7 goals so far this tournament, and Peru have conceded 6 which leads to believe this game will likely to a goal fest if the trend is continued.

The only game Uruguay have really struggled was against Japan, which is strange since they were the most inferior team they played. They could come up against the same problem again here, where they struggle to break down an inferior side, only time will tell.

Team News

Once again full back Diego Laxalt is a doubt, while Inter midfielder Matias Vecino is ruled out of the game, a big loss after a strong tournament so far.

Potential Uruguay Starting XI: Muslera, Gonzales, Gimenez, Godin, Caceres, Nandez, Torreira, Bentancur, Lodeiro, Cavani, Suarez

Potential Peru Starting XI: Gallese, Trauco, Abram, Zambrano, Advincula, Yotun, Tapia, Polo, Farfan, Cueva, Guerrero

Head To Head

  • The last 5 games have seen 4 Uruguay wins and a single Peru win.
  • The sides have met a total of 41 sides, 25 Uruguay wins, 11 Peru wins and 5 draws.
  • The pair haven’t had a 0-0 draw from 19 years.

Key Stats & Facts

  • 5 of Uruguay’s last 6 victories have seen them win both halves.
  • Peru have been involved in 2 knockouts in the last 20 years in CA and lost both.

Betting Odds

  • Uruguay 3/5
  • Draw 11/4
  • Peru 9/2

The Verdict

Given the sheer amount of goals both these sides games have contained it’s fair to assume that goals will once again be a prominent feature. Uruguay are still unbeaten, and I fully expect this trend to continue. One bet that looks a good play is Uruguay to win and over 2.5 goals. Only one of Uruguay’s 3 group games contained less than 4 goals, and only one of Peru’s group contained less than 4 also. Given Uruguay’s squad quality in comparison they should be able to get the job done here and progress to play the winner of Colombia v Chile.

I’m also going to take a stab at correct score market. I fancy Uruguay to get across the line here fairly easily and a 3-0 score line looks good to me. A reliable defence which has only been breached in one game so far a clean sheet could easily be on the cards. As previously stated, Suarez and Cavani both possess huge goalscoring quality. Uruguay are averaging 2.3 goals per game so far and are only conceding 0.6 goals per game, meaning we just need to get on the right side of these averages to land our bet.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Uruguay and over 2.5 goals – 2/1 (Ladbrokes)
  • 1pt – Uruguay 3-0 – 13/1 (BetVictor)