Wales v Slovakia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 24/03/19

Wales v Slovakia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Wales vs Slovakia and provides us with his best bets for Sunday afternoon’s Euro 2020 qualifying Group E fixture by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -3.78pts

Wales v Slovakia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 24/03/19
  • Time: 14:00
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Wales’ Euro 2020 qualification begins this Sunday, as they look to replicate their heroics of the 2015 campaign, that saw them qualify for their first ever European Championships.

Their first game sees them face Slovakia, whom they faced in their Euro 2016 group and a side that to have only ever reached one European Championship finals. The Slovaks have struggled for consistency in the last year, which saw them miss out on the World Cup play-offs by a single point, despite finishing as runners-up in the qualifying group which England won and coming bottom of their Nations League group.

Wales have also had a difficult year or so, in which they failed to reach the play-offs for the World Cup but did avoid relegation from their Nations League group. Home form has been good in the last few years, but the pressure is on this current squad, as this is a group that Ryan Giggs and the nation will feel is one they should come through.

Both of these sides were good in their last European championship qualification process and both will fancy their chances of getting through this group. The top two teams qualify automatically to the finals but as neither won their Nations League group, they have to get a top 2 spot to go through. And with Croatia in the group as well, games between these two teams could prove crucial.

Team News   

Wales are without the likes of Sam Vokes, Tom Lawrence and Ethan Ampadu through injury but are hopeful of having Aaron Ramsey back. Gareth Bale did not play in the friendly against Trinidad and Tobago but was always being rested for this game. David Brooks, Jamie Lawrence and Daniel James are also players looking to get into the side.

The away side have no injury concerns.

Potential Wales Starting XI: Hennessey; Roberts, Mepham, Williams, Davies; Allen, Ramsey; Brooks, Wilson, James; Bale

Potential Slovakia Starting XI: Dubravka; Pekarik, Skriniar, Vavro, Hancko; Kucka, Lobotka; Rusnak, Hamsik, Mak; Duda

Head To Head

  • These two have only ever played three games against each other, all in European Qualifying tournaments. Wales have won two of those games, with over 2.5 goals landing in all of them.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in three of Wales last four home games.
  • Both teams to score has landed in three of Slovakia’s last five games.
  • Slovakia have lost six of their last seven away games in all competitions.

Betting Odds

  • Wales – 23/20
  • Draw – 23/10
  • Slovakia – 3/1

The Verdict

Both of these sides are struggling for some consistency and in an opening match of a qualification campaign, avoiding defeat is essential. The draw does appeal, in that sense, at 23/10, especially as Wales are still developing under Ryan Giggs and Slovakia have a very poor record away from home recently (losing six of last seven).

Seven of Wales’ last 10 home games has seen under 2.5 goals and Wales have also failed to score more than once in a home game in 11 of their last 15 at the Cardiff City Stadium. They laboured against Trinidad and Tobago in the week and failed to score in their friendly against Albania.

Slovakia have failed to score in three of their last six away games and have managed just four goals in their last seven on the road. Slovakia lack a real goal scorer and Wales also look a bit light in that front if you take Bale out of the side.

Having said all of that, this looks set to be a tight affair, which neither manager will want to lose. Wales are marginal favourites but there isn’t enough to suggest they will win this one. Slovakia’s inability to win away makes the draw look the most likely result here, in what should be a low scoring affair.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Draw – 23/10 (MarathonBet)