Watford v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 15/04/19

Watford v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Watford v Arsenal and provides us with his best bets for Monday night’s Premier League encounter by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +3.21pts

Watford v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 15/04/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Vicarage Road
  • Channel: Sky Sports Premier League

Both Watford and Arsenal head into this encounter on the back of victories, and significant ones at that. Watford have an FA Cup Final to look forward to after coming from 2-0 down to defeat Wolves in extra time at Wembley. The Gunners secured a 2-0 first leg win over Napoli to put them in a decent position prior to next week’s second leg. Some may therefore suggest both have other matters on their mind going into Monday’s clash at the Vicarage Road. However, Watford are chasing seventh, which could be enough to qualify for Europe, whilst Arsenal are fighting it out for one of those precious top four positions.

Team News

Javi Gracia has concerns over the fitness of three players prior to this game. Kiko, Jose Holebas and Gerard Deulofeu are the trio in question, and they will be given every possible chance to prove their fitness in time for this encounter. Gracia has been chopping and changing his side in recent times, so there is every chance there will be a change or two for the visit of Arsenal. Ben Foster will be recalled in goal, but players such as Adam Masina and Daryl Janmaat might be called upon. Tom Cleverley, Isaac Success and Adalberto Penaranda remain injury concerns.

Former Borussia Dortmund defender Sokratis begins a two-match ban on Monday having collected ten yellow cards. Shkodran Mustafi is his likely replacement in the back three. Unai Emery is hopeful of having Granit Xhaka back from a groin issue, however he is still a major doubt. Danny Welbeck, Rob Holding and Hector Bellerin remain out long-term. Unai Emery must decide if he is to freshen up his side after facing Napoli on Thursday, and with the return leg in Italy to come later in the week. The likes of Matteo Guendouzi and Alex Iwobi will come into contention.

Potential Watford Starting XI: Foster, Janmaat, Mariappa, Cathcart, Masina, Capoue, Hughes, Doucoure, Pereyra, Deeney, Gray.

Potential Arsenal Starting XI: Leno, Mustafi, Koscielny, Monreal, Maitland-Niles, Guendouzi, Ramsay, Kolasinac, Ozil, Iwobi, Aubameyang.

Head To Head

  • Watford: 12, Arsenal 16, Draw 1.
  • Since Watford’s return to the Premier League in 2015, there has been seven league meetings between these two sides. Arsenal have won five of those, with Watford the other two. There was also an FA Cup contest in 2016, which Watford came out on top. Arsenal have won the previous two ‘to nil’.
  • Interestingly, in all eight of the games that has taken place since 2015, seven of those have ended above the 2.5 goal line. The only one was hasn’t was when Arsenal beat the Hornets earlier this season.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Watford have a mixed record when it comes to their next game following an FA Cup tie. Earlier in the season, they’ve defeated Crystal Palace and Cardiff City, but also lost to Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United.
  • Arsenal have a very positive record when it comes to their immediate matches following a UEFA Europa League appearance. Of those nine encounters, they’ve won six, drew twice and only lost away to Southampton.
  • Only Manchester City have won more Premier League games than Arsenal over the last ten games.
  • Watford’s record against the ‘big six’ in the Premier League this season is not too encouraging for the visit of Arsenal. They lost the earlier season meeting at the Emirates 2-0. Man City, Liverpool and Man Utd have done the double of them. They’ve also lost at home to Chelsea and away to Spurs, but they did defeat Tottenham at Vicarage Road in September.
  • Arsenal’s away form leaves a lot to be desired this season. They’ve only won five league encounters on their travels, all versus teams situated in the bottom half of the table. 28 of the 40 goals the Gunners have conceded have been in away matches, whilst only 26 of their 65 goals scored have been away from the Emirates, as well.

Betting Odds

  • Watford 11/5
  • Draw 11/4
  • Arsenal 5/4

The Verdict

I do worry that Watford’s form might suddenly drop with an FA Cup Final not too far away. They certainly won’t have been the first club for that to have been the case. However, Arsenal also have another immediate agenda as a trip to Napoli arrives only three days after this match, so Emery is likely to rotate to a degree. Whilst they do have strength in depth, one area they’ve had problems with for a while now is their away form. They’ve only recorded five victories, all versus sides in the bottom half of the table.

Watford’s record over the ‘big six’ is something which is also putting me off them in one respect. However, they have defeated Spurs at Vicarage Road. Plus, they’re on a four-match winning streak in front of their own supporters, being undefeated in six. The club as a whole should be on a real high considering the manner of their win over Wolves at Wembley. They did beat Arsenal at home last season as well. The Hornets are deemed outsiders for this home clash, and they’re definitely the value pick.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Watford Double Chance – 3/4 (888Sport)