Watford v Crystal Palace Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 16/03/19
Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Watford v Crystal Palace and provides us with his best bets for Saturdays FA cup clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +1.2pts
Watford v Crystal Palace Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 16/03/2019
- Time: 12:15
- Venue: Vicarage Road
- Channel: BT Sport
Both sides come into the game with identical form from there last 5 games each. They have both lost 2 of their last 5 games, and coincidentally it’s the same 1st and 3rd game they both lost in. The Hornets are 10 points better off in the League table which is probably fair to how both sides have played this season. Watford have impressed this season as they have majorly improved from previous years. Palace however look to be in a similar position to last season, however slightly better of now. They both took out lower league opposition without any threat in the last round, however they are looking at a very different tie this time round.
Palace saw themselves in the thick of a relegation battle last season when Hodgson took over and did a very respectable job, however they have struggled to then build on it this season. They have looked slightly better in recent weeks with Zaha seemingly back to his best and Batshuayi netting a few goals for his new club. Palace rely heavily on their Midfield hardman Milivojevic, who has netted 9 times this season, although a lot of these are from the 12-yard spot, his goals have been pivotal for many points Palace have earned.
Watford seemed to have thrived this season in the philosophy that Javi Garcia has stamped on the club. Deeney and Deulofeu have formed a lovely partnership upfront this season, illustrated perfectly a few weeks ago in their 5-1 romping of Cardiff, where the pair got 5 goals between them, Deeney picking up 2 goals and 2 assists and Deulofeu with 3 goals and 1 assist.
Watford are sat in a pretty awkward position in the league really. They are 14 points behind 6th place Chelsea, which is the only improvement they can really make on their current position as it would mean qualifying for Europe, however it is seemingly impossible for them to make up such a tally. Palace on the other hand sit 5 points above the relegation, and although it is highly unlikely the Eagles will get dragged into the drop, they do need to watch their back. Therefore an FA Cup final could be just what both sides need. For Watford it would top off what has already been a very improved season on last term, and for Palace it would slightly make up for their lacklustre season that they’ve had.
Watford come into the game with no injuries, Miguel Britos has been out with a knock but is expected to return for the game. Watford see themselves in a very strong position at this stage of the season to have no injuries.
Palace on the other hand have 4 players out. Despite this Hennessey and Pape Souare could be back for this game, the latter which has been out for a long period following his accident. Sakho looks to be out for the rest of the season after surgery and Bakary Sako still also has no know return date, likely to be early April time.
Potential Watford Starting XI: Gomes, Janmaat, Kabasele, Cathcart, Holebas, Capoue, Doucare, Cleverly, Pereyra, Deulofeu, Deeney
Potential Crystal Palace Starting XI: Guita, Wan-Bissaka, Tomkins, Dann, Van Aanholt, Milivojevic, Meyer, Schlupp, Zaha, Townsend, Batshuayi
Head To Head
- The last 5 games have seen 2 wins each and a draw, so very equal form.
- The last two meetings between the pair have seen Watford win 2-1 both times, one at home and one away.
Key Stats & Facts
- The sides have already met twice this season in the league, in which the Hornets won both games by the same 2-1 score line.
- They both come into the game on the back of defeats, however Palace will be disappointed to lose 2-1 at home to Brighton, Watford unlikely to be hung up about a 3-1 defeat to giants Manchester City.
- Watford 7/5
- Draw 12/5
- Crystal Palace 11/5
I normally aren’t the biggest fan of outright markets, however even I can’t take my eyes off the odds for a home victory. Watford have only lost 5 games at home this season, and given 4 of them came against Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United and Manchester City it shows how strong they’ve been at home against sides below the top 6. So, I’d say the 7/5 on offer is far more than generous.
Both Teams to score has occurred in 3 of Watford’s last 5, and one of those was the previous round of the cup where they beat QPR 1-0. 4 of Palace’s last 5 have seen both teams to score also, and again the only game failing BTTS was their previous FA cup match in a 2-0 win over Doncaster Rovers. The last two meetings between the two have also seen Watford win and both teams to score. Therefore, to pair BTTS with a Watford win we see odds of 4/1 with Betfair which Is slightly over priced given stats and form backing it up.