West Brom v Birmingham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 29/03/19

West Brom v Birmingham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews West Brom v Birmingham and provides us with his best bets for Friday night's clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.

  • Profit & Loss: -10.4pts

West Brom v Birmingham Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 29/03/19
  • Time: 20:00pm
  • Venue: The Hawthorns
  • Channel: SkySports MainEvent

Championship action is back on Friday evening and it's an all West Midlands affair as West Brom host Birmingham at the Hawthorns.

The Baggies cut ties with gaffer Darren Moore, a strange move that surprised many. Whilst his teams were far from watertight at the back they were destructive going forward, scoring more goals than any other team for the majority of the season. It seems to be the home form that has led to his departure, WBA are a stark contrast at their base compared to when they're on their travels.

Having said that, current assistant Jimmy Shan has won both his games in charge. A 3-0 at home against Swansea was followed up with a 1-0 victory at Griffin Park against Brentford. Youngster Kyle Edwards was given a surprise start by Shan and he was a menace against the Bees and top it off with a fantastic individual effort which ultimately won the game.

It will be a relief to Baggies fans that they've kept consecutive clean sheets, something not associated with them this term. If they continue to keep it tight at the back but still have an attacking edge it will make them a much more well rounded side as they push to cement their play off place. They've been clinical in the final third but with the likes of Jay Rodriguez and Dwight Gayle up front it's no surprise. WBA actually lost the xG battle in both their last two games but if they can avoid the issue and take their chances then they shouldn't have too much of a problem here.

Not all is well at Birmingham City however. Over the international break they've been hit with a 9 point deduction due to a breach of FFP. That's dragged the Blues right into the mire and their previously comfortable position of mid table is no longer the case. Garry Monk's men are only 5 points clear of the drop zone and they'll be eager to stretch away from the survival battle sooner rather than later.

It's easier said than done though; the second city club are in no form at all. Their last four games have seen defeats without them evening notching a goal in that period. Che Adams has been the shining light and his inclusion in the Championship team of the season was merited, they need him to re-establish his goalscoring touch as goals are at a premium when him and Lukas Jutkiewicz aren't bagging.

It will be interesting to see how the visitors deal with this sudden pressure.Monk needs to get his players right up for it but that shouldn't take too much doing given this is a local derby.

Team News

Defenders Kieran Gibbs and Tosin Adarabioyo are both ruled out for the hosts, as is winger Matt Phillips.

Birmingham only have one injury concern with Marc Roberts still unavailable.

Potential West Brom Starting XI: Johnstone, Holgate, Hegazi, Dawson, Townsend, Livermore, Johansen, Brunt, Murphy, Rodriguez, Gayle.

Potential Birmingham Starting XI: Camp, Harding Morrison, Dean, Pedersen, Maghoma, Kieftenbeld, Gardner, Jota, Adams, Jutkiewicz.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Birmingham have lost their last 4 league games.
  • Birmingham have failed to score in their last 4 games.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals in the last 4 Birmingham games.
  • West Brom are undefeated in their last 5 matches vs Birmingham.
  • West Brom have won both games to nil since Darren Moore was sacked.

Betting Odds

  • West Brom – 4/5
  • Draw – 13/5
  • Birmingham – 15/4

The Verdict

Although West Brom are not great at home they have to be considered worthy favourites here. They've won their two games under Jimmy Shan and given the fact Birmingham have lost four on the bounce, all ‘to nil' there's no way I can justify an away win. The 20/23 quotes available with BetVictor look more than fair. I think the Baggies will simply outscore their opposition.

I'm also going to delve into SkyBet's request a bet market and back each team to have 3+ corners and to pick up 10+ booking points at 10/11.

With this being a derby fixture, cards have to be a play and for both sides to simply see a caution each it looks a more than feasible start. Both sides average over 5 corners a game, Birmingham interestingly have the higher overall average and as an away side here that's key. Pressure will be on the hosts to do most of the pressing so they could rack up a few corners too. This looks a solid selection in my eyes.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – West Brom To Win @ 20/23 (BetVictor)
  • 2pts – Each Team 3+ Corners & Each Team 10+ Booking Points @ 10/11 (SkyBet Request-a-Bet)